Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat Prediction 4/14/2024

The Toronto Raptors (25-56) travel to face off against the Miami Heat (45-36) on Sunday, April 14th. This game will be played at Kaseya Center in Miami and televised on BSSU. The Heat are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Raptors are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Raptors. Tip-off is set for 1:00 ET.

Raptors vs Heat

toronto raptors nba

The Raptors Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Raptors were defeated by the Heat in the most recent game, concluding with a score of 125-103. In addition to their straight-up loss, the Raptors couldn’t cover the spread as +14 point underdogs. The over/under line heading into this matchup was 219 points in which the two teams surpassed.

Coming into today’s game vs. the Heat, the Raptors are 25-56 and are looking to snap their three game losing streak. In Eastern Conference play, the Raptors are 18-33 while going 7-23 in non-conference games.

Toronto currently has an ATS record below .500, sitting at 35-46 at this point. Toronto has gone 10-13 against the spread this season when they are the favorites, and they are 25-33 when playing as underdogs.

The Heat Are Coming Off A Win

Nikola Jovic led Miami with 22 points against the Raptors, the highest on the team. He finished with a field goal percentage of 52.3% in the game. As the Heat secured the victory with a final score of 125-103, Jaime Jaquez Jr. also chipped in with 20 points.

Looking to stay above .500, the Heat come into today’s matchup against the Raptors with a 45-36 record. They are currently 8th in the Eastern Conference and are the 2nd place team in the Southeast division.

In terms of the spread, Miami currently holds an ATS record of 40-38, which is above .500. On the road, the Heat have an ATS record of 24-14 compared to a 16-24 record vs. the spread at home.

Raptors Offense Breakdown

Toronto has recorded an average of 112.5 points per game (21st) throughout 81 games games.

When it comes to scoring, the Raptors are 21st in the NBA at 112.5 points per game. On the road, they average 114.6 points per game (12th).

So far this season, Toronto has outscored the NBA scoring average in 43.2% of their games. When it comes to field goal percentage, the Raptors are 16th in the league (47%).

One area where the Raptors have struggled is three-point shooting. They are 29th in the NBA at 34% from beyond the arc. Overall, Toronto is 12th in pace at 99.3 possessions per game.

Heat Offense Breakdown

miami heat

In 81 games games, Miami has an average of 110 points per game (27th).

At home this season, the Heat are averaging 112.0 points per game, which is 23rd in the league. Overall, they are 27th in scoring at 110 points per game. In terms of pace, Miami is 29th in the NBA.

When it comes to field goal percentage, the Heat are 24th in the league at 46%. In terms of two-point shooting, Miami is 27th in the NBA at 52%. From beyond the arc, the Heat are 11th in three-point shooting at 37%.

So far this season, the Heat have made an average of 12.5 three-pointers per game, which is 18th in the NBA. In terms of free throw attempts, Miami is 13th in the league.

Raptors Team Defense

At this time, the Raptors’ defense is positioned 24th in the NBA, permitting 118.8 points per game. Toronto’s defense is currently forcing 13.4 turnovers per game, which is 20th in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 19th in blocked shots, with an average of 4.8 rejections per game.

Heat Team Defense

The Heat’s defense is presently ranked 3rd in the league, allowing an average of 108.5 points per contest. In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Heat defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 55.4% while allowing 35.5% from downtown.

Key Players For The Raptors And Heat

Our game forecasts for today suggest that RJ Barrett is set to be the main scorer for the Raptors, recording 20 points and shooting 8/15 from the field. For the season, he has been averaging 20.2 points per game, in addition to 5.4 rebounds.

On the flip side, our predictions place Jimmy Butler as the leading scorer for the Heat. We expect him to conclude the game with a team-high 21 while also collecting 5 rebounds. This season, he is shooting at a field goal percentage of 49.7%, and his scoring average is 20.9 points per game.

Raptors vs Heat Trends

  • Toronto has a 1-2 record in their last three road games. In this stretch, they averaged 107 points per game while allowing 114. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
  • Across their last five home contests, Miami has been good against the spread posting a mark of 5-0. Their overall mark in these games was 4-1, while averaging 115 points per game.
  • The last three games that Toronto was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 1-2 while going 0-3 straight up.
  • As the betting favorite, the Heat have an ATS record of 4-1 in their last five games. In these matchups their, straight up record was 4-1.

Raptors vs Heat Prediction

For a point-spread wager in this Heat vs. Raptors game, we suggest taking the Raptors at +15.5. Even though our predictions have the Heat winning 113-110, we see the Raptors as the better choice on the point-spread.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 220.5 and given that our model is projecting 223 points between the teams, we like the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.