Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets Prediction 3/9/2024

The Utah Jazz (28-35) travel to face off against the Denver Nuggets (43-20) on Saturday, March 9th. This game will be played at Ball Arena in Denver and televised on ALT. The Nuggets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Jazz are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Celtics. Tip-off is set for 9:00 ET.

Jazz vs Nuggets

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The Jazz Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

In their most recent game, the Jazz fell to the Bulls by a score of 119-117. Despite the loss in the game, the Jazz managed to cover the spread as +4 point underdogs. The over/under line for this matchup was set at 224 points, and the teams managed to exceed that total.

When looking at their overall record of 28-35, the Jazz are 9-23 in road games compared to 19-12 at home. As +12.5 point underdogs, the Jazz hope to pull off an upset in today’s game.

In terms of the spread, Utah currently holds an ATS record of 35-28, which is above .500. With a two game ATS win streak as favorites, the Jazz are 23-22 against the spread when they are underdogs.

The Nuggets Are Coming Off A Win

The Nuggets beat the Celtics in their most recent game, ending with a score of 115-109. Prior to the game, the Nuggets were the underdog at +2.5, earning both a straight-up and ATS victory. The over/under line for this matchup was set at 222.5 points, and the teams managed to exceed that total.

In their last five games, the Nuggets are 4-1 and have an overall record of 43-20. When playing on the road, the Nuggets are 18-14 this season compared to their 25-6 record at home.

Denver arrives with an ATS record of 28-33 for the season up to this point. When playing on the road, the Nuggets hold an ATS record of 13-18 in contrast to a 15-15 record against the spread when playing at home.

Jazz Offense Breakdown

Today, the Jazz enter the game as one of the NBA’s top-scoring teams, averaging 117.7 points per game (9th).

On the season, the Jazz are 9th in the NBA in scoring at 117.7 points per game. However, when playing on the road, they are averaging 112.3 points per game (20th).

In terms of pace, Utah is 8th in the league at 100.2 possessions per game. When it comes to field goal percentage, they are shooting 46% from the field (19th).

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Jazz are 10th in made threes at 13.4 per game. However, they are just 20th in three-point shooting percentage at 35%.

Nuggets Offense Breakdown

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Through 63 games the Nuggets are averaging 114.4 points per contest, placing them 16th in the NBA.

At home this season, the Nuggets are averaging 118.0 points per game, which is 10th in the NBA. Overall, Denver is 16th in scoring at 114.4 points per game. They have outscored the league average in 46% of their games.

Denver’s offense is 5th in field goal percentage, hitting 49% of their shots. However, they are just 28th in three-point shooting at 36%.

When it comes to pace, the Nuggets are 28th in the league at 96.2 possessions per game. In terms of assists, Denver is 5th in the NBA at 29 per contest.

Jazz Team Defense

At present, the Jazz’s defense is ranked 25th, allowing 120.4 points per game. Opponents are hitting 54.6% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 39.0% of their three-point attempts.

Nuggets Team Defense

Currently, the Nuggets’ defense holds the 7th rank in the NBA, allowing 110.4 points per game. Most recently, the Nuggets’ defense put together a solid performance, giving up just 109 points to the Celtics.

Key Players For The Jazz And Nuggets

Our game forecasts for today suggest that Collin Sexton is set to be the main scorer for the Jazz, recording 19 points and shooting 6/13 from the field. This season, he is averaging 18.2 points per game along with 2.5 boards.

On the other side, Nikola Jokic is our projected leading scorer for the Nuggets. We have him ending the game with a team-high 25 and grabbing 12 rebounds. This season, he has put together a field goal percentage of 57.9%, and he is contributing 26 points per game on average.

Jazz vs Nuggets Trends

  • In their last ten games away from home, the Jazz have a straight up record of 2-8 while going 4-6 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 116 points per game in these contests.
  • The Nuggets are 3-0 ATS in their last three home games and 3-0 straight-up.
  • Spanning across their last three games as the betting underdog, the Jazz have gone 2-1 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 0-3.
  • The last ten games that Denver was favored, they have an ATS mark of 5-5 while going 8-2 straight up.

Jazz vs Nuggets Prediction

When looking to get a point-spread pick down in this Jazz vs. Nuggets game, our recommendation is to take the Jazz at +12.5. Despite our model showing the Nuggets winning 111-107, we like Jazz as our point-spread pick.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 230.5 and our model has the Jazz and Nuggets finishing with a combined 218 points. Our pick is to take the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.