jazz vs thunder nba prediction

NBA Utah Jazz vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction 12/11/2023

The Utah Jazz (7-15) travel to face off against the Oklahoma City Thunder (14-7) on Monday, December 11th. This game will be played at Paycom Center in Paycom Center and televised on BSO. The Thunder are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Jazz are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Warriors. Tip-off is set for 8:00 ET.

Jazz vs Thunder

The Jazz Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

In their most recent game, the Jazz fell to the Clippers by a score of 117-103. Alongside their straight-up loss, the Jazz couldn’t cover as +7.5 point underdogs. When it comes to the over/under, the total of 220 points ended up falling short of the over/under line set at 225.5.

So far this season, the Jazz are 7-15 overall and will be looking to snap their two game losing streak when they take on the Thunder. In Western Conference play, the Jazz are 7-12 while going 0-3 in non-conference games.

Utah has an ATS record of .500 for the season, and they stand at 11-11 ATS. During this season, Utah has a 3-1 record against the spread as favorites and 8-10 as underdogs.

The Thunder Are Coming Off A Win

The Thunder beat the Warriors in their most recent game, ending with a score of 138-136. Leading up the game, the Thunder had a -3.5-point advantage on the spread but their 2 point win didn’t cover the spread. The over/under line entering this matchup was 236.5 points, and both teams achieved a total score that exceeded that line.

In their last ten games, the Thunder have gone 7-3 and are 14-7 overall. When playing on the road, the Thunder are 7-3 compared to 7-4 at home.

Oklahoma City comes in with an overall ATS record of 15-6 so far this season. The Thunder have been unable to cover the spread in their last two games as favorites, and they hold a 7-2 record against the spread when playing as underdogs.

Jazz Offense Breakdown

This season, the Utah offense is ranked 24th in the NBA in scoring at 111 points per game. The Jazz come into the game as one of the league’s better 3-point shooting teams, connecting at a rate of 13.2 made 3’s per game. If the Jazz offense is going to improve, they could look to play at a faster tempo, as they currently average just 99.3 possession per game. This could benefit the team as they are currently one of the better 3-point shooting units in the NBA.

Thunder Offense Breakdown

The Oklahoma City offense will take the floor in today’s game with the league’s 6th ranked offense at 119.7 points per game. In terms of pace, the Thunder are one of the top units in the NBA, averaging 100.2 possessions per game. Heading into the game, the Thunder will look to continue with their formula of playing fast and getting to the basket, as they are near the top of the league in two-point fields made per game.

Jazz Team Defense

At present, the Jazz’s defense is ranked 25th, allowing 119.7 points per game.

On two point field goal attempts, the Jazz’s defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 56.8% and allowing 37.3% from beyond the arc.

Thunder Team Defense

At this time, the Thunder’s defense is positioned 13th in the NBA, permitting 112.5 points per game.

In their previous game, the Thunder’s defense struggled against the Warriors, giving up 136 points on a field goal percentage of 47%.

Key Players For The Jazz And Thunder

In today’s game, our projections have Jordan Clarkson leading the Jazz with 12 points on 4/10 shooting from the field. Throughout this season, his average stands at 17.1 points per game, along with 3.3 rebounds.

As for Oklahoma City, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is projected to be the primary scorer for the Thunder. Our forecast has him finishing the game with 20, and adding 3 rebounds. For the season, he has a field goal percentage of 54.4% and is averaging 30.4 points per contest.

Jazz vs Thunder Trends

  • Across their three previous road games, Utah has an ATS mark of 1-2. Their straight up record in these matchups was 0-3 while averaging 92 points per game.
  • Across their last five home contests, Oklahoma City has been good against the spread posting a mark of 4-1. Their overall mark in these games was 3-2, while averaging 118 points per game.
  • Looking back on the team’s last three games as the underdog, the Jazz have a straight up record of 0-3. Their record vs the spread in these games was 1-2.
  • As the betting favorite, the Thunder have an ATS record of 3-2 in their last five games. In these matchups their, straight up record was 4-1.

Jazz vs Thunder Prediction

We’re putting our money on the Thunder to win, and have the projected score sitting at 112-99. We also like them to cover the spread, so our recommendation is to bet on the Thunder at -12.5.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 232.5, and our model projects the Jazz and Thunder to reach a combined total of 211 points. Our bet is on taking the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.