The Warriors are on the road to face the Portland Trail Blazers, with both team’s playing their first-game of the season. Tip-off for this season-opener, is set for 10:00 at Moda Center.
Warriors vs Trail Blazers
The Warriors Are Looking To Start Their Season With A Win
Golden State enters the season ranked 14th in our power rankings, with a 44.5% chance of making the playoffs. Last season, the Warriors finished 46-36, placing 10th in the Western Conference. They were 21-20 at home and 25-16 on the road, with a +4.5 scoring margin in away games. In conference play, they went 26-26, and they were 7-9 in divisional games, finishing 5th in the Pacific Division.
Against the spread, Golden State had a 35-47 record, and they were 37-18 straight-up when favored. They were favored in 55 games and covered in 26 of them. As underdogs, they went 9-18. The average over/under line for their games was 231 points, and they had an O/U record of 41-40-1, with their games averaging 232.9 points per game.
The Trail Blazers Are Looking To Start Their Season With A Win
Portland enters the season ranked 26th in our power rankings, with just a 3.0% chance of making the playoffs. Last season, the Trail Blazers finished 21-61, placing 15th in the Western Conference. They were 8-44 in conference games and 1-15 in divisional matchups, finishing 5th in the Northwest Division.
Against the spread, Portland matched their straight-up record at 21-61. They were 1-5 when favored and 20-56 as the underdog. The Trail Blazers were favored in just 6 games last season. Their games had an average O/U line of 222.7 points, with an average of 221.8 points per game. Their O/U record was 39-42-1.
Warriors Offense Breakdown
Golden State enters the season ranked 10th in our offensive power rankings after finishing 8th in points per game (117.8) last season. The Warriors were 12th in possessions per game (99.3) and 13th in field goal percentage (47.7%). They attempted the 3rd most field goals per game (91.6), ranking 2nd in three-pointers made per game (14.8) and 7th in three-point percentage (38.0%). They were 27th in free throws attempted per game (20.0) and 16th in free throw percentage (78.0%).
Stephen Curry is projected to lead the team in scoring and three-pointers, ranking 10th in points and 1st in three-pointers in our league-wide projections. Jonathan Kuminga is projected 2nd on the team in scoring, with Andrew Wiggins and new addition Buddy Hield rounding out the top four. Hield is projected 14th in the league in three-pointers made, ranking 2nd on the team behind Curry.
Trail Blazers Offense Breakdown
Last season, the Trail Blazers finished 28th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 106.4 points per game, placing them 29th in the league. They were 17th in possessions per game, averaging 97.4, and ranked 11th in field goal attempts per game with 89.7. However, they struggled with efficiency, shooting 43.9% from the field, which was 29th in the NBA. From beyond the arc, they made 11.5 threes per game, ranking 28th, and had the lowest three-point percentage at 34.5%. They attempted 33.2 threes per game, placing them 20th in that category. Portland was 23rd in free throw attempts per game but ranked 9th in free throw percentage, shooting 79.1%. They were 2nd in offensive rebounds per game, averaging 12.6.
Jerami Grant returns after averaging 21 points per game last season, and we project him as the 56th-ranked scorer in the league. Anfernee Simons is projected to lead the team in scoring, ranking 32nd in our league-wide projections and 8th among shooting guards. Deni Avdija, acquired from the Wizards, is projected to be the 5th-leading scorer for Portland. Last season, he averaged 14.7 points and 7.2 rebounds per game, shooting 50.6% from the field.
Warriors Team Defense
Golden State enters this season ranked 18th in our defensive power rankings after allowing 115.9 points per game last year, which ranked 20th in the NBA. They were 4th in defensive rebounding, with Stephen Curry and Brandin Podziemski contributing on the boards, though Curry is currently questionable. Trayce Jackson-Davis, one of the league’s top shot-blockers, adds an inside presence alongside Draymond Green.
Opponents shot 45.9% from the field against the Warriors last season, the 5th-lowest mark in the league. They also held teams to 50.7% shooting inside the arc, ranking 2nd in the NBA. However, they struggled to defend the three-point line, allowing 38.7%, which ranked 28th.
Trail Blazers Team Defense
Last season, the Warriors ranked 20th in points allowed, giving up 115.9 per game, and come into this season ranked 18th in our defensive power rankings. They were 5th in field-goal percentage allowed, holding opponents to 45.9%, and ranked 8th in effective field-goal percentage allowed. However, they struggled against the three, allowing 38.7%, which ranked 28th in the NBA.
Golden State was 4th in defensive rebounding, and Stephen Curry, who is questionable, is one of the top rebounders among point guards. Brandin Podziemski, another strong rebounder, is also questionable. Trayce Jackson-Davis, their top shot-blocker, is projected to contribute, along with Draymond Green, who leads the team in rebounding.
Warriors vs Trail Blazers Trends
- When looking at their past five road matchups, Golden State has an ATS record of 2-3 while averaging 113 per game. The team went 3-2 overall in these games.
- Across their last five home contests, Portland has a 3-2 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 2-3, while averaging 97 points per game.
- Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the Trail Blazers have gone 2-3 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 0-5.
- Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, Golden State has an ATS mark of 3-7 while going 7-3 straight up.
Warriors vs Trail Blazers Prediction
As the underdogs with a spread of +5.5, we recommend going with the Trail Blazers on the point spread. We not only see them covering the spread but also have a strong likelihood of winning this one outright, especially if you’re seeking a higher payout on the moneyline.
As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 222 and our model has the Warriors and Trail Blazers finishing with a combined 304 points. Our pick is to take the over.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:October 23, 2024 Portland Trail Blazers, Warriors