pop tart bowl prediction

NC State vs Kansas State Pop Tart Bowl Prediction 12/28/2023

The NC State Wolfpack (9-3) face off against the Kansas State Wildcats (8-4) on Thursday, December 28th. This game will be played at Camping World Stadium in Orlando and televised on ESPN. NC State is coming off a win in their previous game, while Kansas State is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Iowa State. Kickoff is set for 5:45 ET.

NC State Wolfpack vs Kansas State Wildcats

The NC State Wolfpack Are Coming Off A Win

The Wolfpack’s last game was a matchup vs. North Carolina, ending in a 39-20 win for NC State. In the win against North Carolina, quarterback Brennan Armstrong wrapped up the game with a QB rating of 138.37 after completing 22 of 31 passes for 334 yards. He also added three touchdowns to his performance.

Going into the game, NC State was the underdog at +2.5, giving them both a straight-up and ATS win. The over hit in this matchup as the line was 55.5 pre-game.

So far, the NC State Wolfpack are 9-3, including going 4-1 on the road and 4-2 at home.

Against the spread, NC State has gone 7-4 this season. The Wolfpack have been favored four times compared to seven games as the underdog. So far this season, the average over/under line for NC State’s games has been 46.8 points. The Wolfpack have an over/under record of 4-7 heading into this week’s game.

The Kansas State Wildcats Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Even though Kansas State led by seven at the half, they stil lost their most recent game by a score of 42-35 to Iowa State. In Kansas State’s recent loss, quarterback Will Howard not only tossed one touchdown but also rushed for one touchdown. Throughout the game, he threw for a total of 288 yards while achieving a completion rate of 50.0%.

The over hit in this game as the pre-game over/under matchup was 45.5. On the point spread, Kansas State was handed a straight-up and ATS loss as they were favored by 10.

So far, the Kansas State Wildcats are 8-4, including going 2-2 on the road and 5-1 at home.

Against the spread, Kansas State has gone 6-4 this season. The Wildcats have been favored nine times compared to one game as the underdog. In 12 games played, the average over/under line for Kansas State’s games has been set at 53.9 points. These contests have seen an average combined score of 59 points, resulting in an OU record of 6-4.

NC State Offense Breakdown

The Wolfpack’s offense is gearing up to take on Kansas State, with an average of 150.8 rushing yards per game and an 4 yards per attempt. In the college football rankings, they are currently in 74th place for rushing yards and 99th place for passing yards, accumulating an average of 196.2 yards per contest. NC State’s overall scoring average is at 26.8 points per game, placing them 58th rank nationally.

This season, Brennan Armstrong has been responsible for 1619 passing yards, maintaining an average of 11.1 per completion. He has a completion rate of 62.4%, having thrown 11 touchdowns.

Kansas State Offense Breakdown

Kansas State comes into the game with an offense averaging 37.8, which places them at 15th in the NCAA rankings. Their passing game has them ranked 55th nationally, with an average of 246.4 passing yards. In the rushing department, they’re 13th in the nation, with 486 rushing attempts per game for the season.

Will Howard leads the team in passing yards this season with 2643. He’s averaging 12.1 per completion and holds a 61.3% completion rate, having thrown 24 touchdowns.

NC State Team Defense

So far this season, the Wolfpack’s defense has given up 105.1 rushing yards per game against the run (193rd). Opponents are averaging 218.8 passing yards and opposing quarterbacks have a passer rating of 76.1 against NC State. In terms of points allowed, they are 86th in the NCAA.

Kansas State Team Defense

Defensively, the Wildcats defense has come up with 24 sacks this season and are 1st in quarterback hurries. Overall, they are allowing 21.2 points per contest (73rd). Against the pass, they are 101st in the NCAA, having allowed 230.2 passing yards allowed per game. Kansas State is giving up 144.9 rushing yards per contest.

NC State vs Kansas State Trends

  • When playing on the road, NC State has an ATS mark of 2-3 vs. the spread.
  • Kansas State is 6-4 in their last ten home games.
  • Wildcats is 4-1 in their last five games as underdogs.
  • Over their last three games as the betting favorite, NC State has an ATS record of 2-1.

NC State vs Kansas State Prediction

Kansas State has struggled with turnovers in their passing game lately. As the away underdogs, I’m leaning towards NC State to cover the spread at +4.5.

Kansas State games have an average margin of -0.3 vs. their over/under lines this season. With the over/under line at 47.5, our prediction is that this game will go over, concluding with a combined total of 49 points.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.