Cal Poly Mustangs vs Portland State Vikings prediction

NCAA Basketball: Cal Poly Mustangs vs. Portland State Vikings Prediction 11/18/2023

The Cal Poly Mustangs (1-2) travel to face off against the Portland State Vikings (3-0) on Saturday, November 18th. This game will be played at Dale E. and Sarah Ann Fowler Events Center in Riverside and televised on ESPN+. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 5:30 ET.

Cal Poly Mustangs vs Portland State Vikings

The Cal Poly Mustangs Are Coming Off A Win

Cal Poly comes into the game with a 1-2 record after playing three games. Up to this point in the season, all of the Mustangs’ games have been away from home. Cal Poly’s ATS record heading into today’s game stands at 1-2. However, taking into account their last ten games from the previous season, Cal Poly has a solid ATS record of 6-2-1.

Through three games, Cal Poly has an over/under record of 2-1-0 with their games averaging a combined 146.7 points per game so far. The Mustangs’ last five games have culminated with an average of 67 points per game and an over/under record of 2-2.

The Portland State Vikings Are Coming Off A Win

The Cal Poly Mustangs come into their matchup against Cal Poly with an unblemished 3-0 record. In each of their three games this season, the Vikings have been favored. Prior to today’s game, Portland State has a perfect ATS record of 3-0. However, when considering their last ten games, including those from the previous season, Portland State has struggled against the spread with a record of 1-8.

Portland State’s games have, on average, featured 134.7 points per game leading to an over/under record of 1-2-0. Their average over/under line is currently 142.5 points so far. The Vikings’ last five games have culminated with an average of 72 points per game and an over/under record of 3-1.

Cal Poly Offense Breakdown

Against St. Thomas (MN), the Cal Poly had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 70.8 points per game. They scored 61 points and posted a field goal percentage of 46% in the game. Leading the team in scoring is Kobe Sanders, who is averaging 15 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Jarred Hyder also maintains a PPG average of 14.8 heading into game.

Kobe Sanders (G) 15.0 3.2 0.8
Jarred Hyder (G) 14.8 2.5 2.2
Joel Armotrading (C) 8.0 5.2 0.8

Portland State Offense Breakdown

The Portland State offense is coming off a game in which they scored 66 points vs. California Baptist. Overall their field goal percentage was 44.2% while connecting on 6 threes. Isaiah Johnson was the leading scorer for the Vikings, putting up 16 points. In addition, Kendall Munson contributed 10 points.

Kaelen Allen (F) 11.2 4.8 0.8
Isaiah Johnson (F) 10.2 6.5 1.8
Ismail Habib (G) 8.8 2.0 1.5

Cal Poly Team Defense

On defense, Cal Poly is currently around the NCAA average in points allowed, giving up an average of 74.8 points per game. Cal Poly’s defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the St. Thomas (MN) offense to knock down 50% of their shots on their way to putting up 60 points.

Portland State Team Defense

Coming into today’s game, the Portland State defense is giving up an average of 61.8 points per contest. Against California Baptist in their most recent game, the Portland State defense gave up a total of 63 points while allowing California Baptist to hit 38% of their shots.

Mustangs vs Vikings Trends

  • Across their last three road contests, Cal Poly has a 2-1 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 1-2, while averaging 67 points per game.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Vikings have a straight up record of 6-4 while going 6-4 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 74 points per game in these contests.
  • In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Mustangs have a straight up record of 2-3 and an ATS mark of 4-1.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the favorite, the Vikings have a straight up record of 6-4. Their record vs the spread in these games was 3-6-1.

Mustangs vs Vikings Prediction

For a point-spread bet in this Vikings vs. Vikings matchup, we’re leaning towards the Vikings at -12.5. Although our projections show the Vikings winning 75-68, we suggest placing your bet on the Mustangs for the point-spread.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 141.5 and given that our model is projecting 143 points between the teams, we like the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.