Maine Black Bears vs North Florida Ospreys prediction

NCAA Basketball: Maine Black Bears vs. North Florida Ospreys Prediction 11/18/2023

The Maine Black Bears (2-2) travel to face off against the North Florida Ospreys (2-2) on Saturday, November 18th. This game will be played at UNF Arena in Jacksonville and televised on ESPN+. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 5:00 ET.

Maine Black Bears vs North Florida Ospreys

The Maine Black Bears Are Coming Off A Win

Maine is set to play their 5th game of the season and currently hold a 2-2 record. In their last five road games, including those from last year, Maine has gone 3-2. As of today’s game, Maine holds a 2-2 ATS record. In away games this season, Maine is 2-1 vs. the spread, while they are 4-6 ATS in their last ten games on the road.

Through four games, Maine has an over/under record of 3-1-0 with their games averaging a combined 136.5 points per game so far. When assessing the Black Bears’ performance in their last three games, their over/under record stands at 3-0, with their games averaging 74 points per game.

The North Florida Ospreys Are Coming Off A Win

North Florida will be playing their fifth game of the season when they face Maine. So far, they have a 2-2 overall record. In their last ten home games, North Florida has a 3-7 record, which includes games from last year. In terms of ATS, North Florida has a current record of 1-3. This includes a 1-1 mark on the road vs. the spread and a 0-2 record at home.

Through four games, North Florida has an over/under record of 2-1-1 with their games averaging a combined 154.8 points per game so far. The Ospreys’ have recorded an over/under record of 1-1 in their last three games, with their games averaging 80 points per game.

Maine Offense Breakdown

In their recent matchup, the Maine offense ended with 80 points against Presbyterian. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 54.3% and made 7 threes. Peter Filipovity was the leading scorer for the Black Bears, putting up 19 points. In addition, Kellen Tynes contributed 18 points.

Kellen Tynes (G) 13.2 2.4 3.2
A.J Lopez (F) 13.0 2.2 1.6
Peter Filipovity (F) 12.2 4.2 0.8

North Florida Offense Breakdown

Coming off their recent game, the North Florida offense tallied 80 points in a matchup against Northwestern State. Their field goal percentage for the game was 46.8%, and they made 12 threes. The team’s top scorer is Chaz Lanier, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 16.8, while Jah Nze also carries a PPG average of 12.6 into the game.

Chaz Lanier (G) 16.8 6.2 2.4
Jah Nze (G) 12.6 3.8 1.4
Jake Van Der Heijden (F) 11.0 3.8 0.4

Maine Team Defense

This season, the Maine defense has been impressive, holding the 56th position in the country while permitting an average of 66.0 points per contest. Maine’s three-point defense is currently 24th in the country at 5.2 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 39.2% of their shots vs. Maine.

North Florida Team Defense

On defense, North Florida is currently around the NCAA average in points allowed, giving up an average of 73.4 points per game. Against Northwestern State in their most recent game, the North Florida defense gave up a total of 74 points while allowing Northwestern State to hit 46% of their shots.

Black Bears vs Ospreys Trends

  • In their last ten games away from home, the Black Bears have a straight up record of 4-6 while going 4-6 vs. the spread. The team averaged 61 points per game in this stretch.
  • When looking at their past three home matchups, North Florida has an ATS record of 1-2 while averaging 76 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
  • Through their last five games as the underdog, the Ospreys have an ATS record of 4-1 and a straight up mark of 4-1.
  • Over the team’s last five games as the favorite, the Black Bears struggled vs the spread going just 2-3. However, they still had a straight up mark of 3-2.

Black Bears vs Ospreys Prediction

As the underdogs with a spread of +1, we recommend going with the Ospreys on the point spread. We not only see them covering the spread but also have a strong likelihood of winning this one outright, especially if you’re seeking a higher payout on the moneyline.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 147 and our model has the Black Bears and Ospreys finishing with a combined 140 points. Our pick is to take the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.