arkansas state vs alabama ncaab prediction

NCAAB Arkansas State vs Alabama Crimson Prediction 12/4/2023

The Arkansas State Red Wolves (2-6) travel to face off against the Alabama Crimson Tide (5-2) on Monday, December 4th. This game will be played at Coleman Coliseum in Tuscaloosa and televised on SECN. Both Arkansas State and Alabama will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:00 ET.

Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Alabama Crimson Tide

The Arkansas State Red Wolves Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Today, Arkansas State, who currently has a 2-6 record, will be playing against Alabama. In their last ten games on the road, which includes last year, Arkansas State has a record of 3-7. In terms of ATS, Arkansas State has a current record of 3-5. Looking at their last five games, the team is 2-3 against the spread.

Up to this point, games involving Arkansas State have had an average of 154.4 points per game, with the average over/under line set at 157 points. Their over/under record is 2-6-0. The Red Wolves’ last five games have culminated with an average of 141 points per game and an over/under record of 0-5.

The Alabama Crimson Tide Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Today, Alabama will face off against Arkansas State in their 8th game of the season. So far this year, they have a 5-2 record. When playing on the road, Alabama is 1-1, while they have a 4-1 record at home. As Alabama gets ready to face Arkansas State, their ATS record stands at 4-3. In their previous five games, the team has gone 2-3 vs. the spread.

Alabama’s games have, on average, featured 171.1 points per game leading to an over/under record of 6-1-0. Their average over/under line is currently 155.3 points so far. When assessing the Crimson Tide’s performance in their last three games, their over/under record stands at 3-0, with their games averaging 174 points per game.

Arkansas State Offense Breakdown

In their latest game, Arkansas State offense put up 66 points against Little Rock. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 36.1% and made 7 threes. The top scorer for the Red Wolves was Dyondre Dominguez with 20 points, while Derrian Ford also added 16 to the scoreboard.

Taryn Todd (G) 13 3.8 2.6
Dyondre Dominguez (F) 13 8.9 1.8
Freddy Hicks (G) 13 5.5 3.0

Alabama Offense Breakdown

The Alabama offense is coming off a game in which they scored 77 points vs. Clemson. Overall their field goal percentage was 34.3% while connecting on 11 threes. Currently leading the team in scoring is Mark Sears who comes into today’s matchup averaging 20.7. Aaron Estrada also heads into the game with a PPG average of 16.9.

Mark Sears (G) 20.7 4.9 4
Aaron Estrada (G) 16.9 4.0 3
Grant Nelson (F) 14.3 7.0 2

Arkansas State Team Defense

Looking at the Arkansas State defense, they will be looking for a better performance considering they are currently conceding 80.1 points per game (233rd). The Arkansas State defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 77 points and allowed Little Rock to connect on 7 threes.

Alabama Team Defense

At present, the Crimson Tide’s defense is nationally ranked 200th, allowing 76.3 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Alabama’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 45.4% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 35.8% this season.

Red Wolves vs Crimson Tide Trends

  • Through their last five road games, Arkansas State has an ATS record of just 2-3. However, their overall record was 1-4 while averaging 69 points per game.
  • When looking at their past five home matchups, Alabama has an ATS record of 0-5 while averaging 75 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, Arkansas State has an ATS mark of 6-4 while going 2-8 straight up.
  • Through their previous five contests as the betting favorite, the Crimson Tide have a strong record of 3-2. Their record vs the spread in these matchups is 2-3.

Red Wolves vs Crimson Tide Prediction

For a point-spread bet in this Crimson Tide vs. Crimson Tide matchup, we’re leaning towards the Crimson Tide at -22.5. Although our projections show the Crimson Tide winning 76-69, we suggest placing your bet on the Red Wolves for the point-spread.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 164.5, and our model projects the Red Wolves and Crimson Tide to reach a combined total of 145 points. Our bet is on taking the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.