arkansas state vs san diego State ncaab prediction

NCAAB: Arkansas State vs. San Diego Prediction 11/24/2023

The Arkansas State Red Wolves (1-3) travel to face off against the San Diego Toreros (3-1) on Friday, November 24th. This game will be played at Acrisure Arena in Palm Springs and televised on ESPN+. San Diego is coming off a win in their previous game, while Arkansas State is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Iowa. Tip-off is set for 10:30 ET.

Arkansas State Red Wolves vs San Diego Toreros

The Arkansas State Red Wolves Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Arkansas State comes into this game with a 1-3 overall record, having played four games. In away games, the Red Wolves are 0-3, while they have a 1-0 record at home. In terms of covering the spread, Arkansas State comes into today’s game with a 1-3 ATS record. Over their last ten games, including the previous season, Arkansas State has been solid at 8-2 vs. the spread.

Looking at their over/under performance through four games, Arkansas State has an over/under record of 2-2-0, with their games averaging 171.2 points per game on average. In their most recent three games, the Red Wolves’ over/under record is 1-2, with their games averaging 83 points per game.

The San Diego Toreros Are Coming Off A Win

San Diego comes into this game with a 3-1 record after defeating Navy, 67-59. In their previous five home games, including last year, San Diego has yet to win, going 0-5. Heading into their game against Arkansas State, San Diego has an ATS record of 2-2. In home games this season, San Diego is 2-1 ATS, while in their last ten home games, they are 3-7 ATS.

San Diego comes in with an over/under record of 2-2-0 through four games, with their games averaging a combined 139.2 points per game so far. When assessing the Toreros’ performance in their last three games, their over/under record stands at 2-1, with their games averaging 78 points per game.

Arkansas State Offense Breakdown

In contrast to their season average of 81.2 points per game, the Arkansas State had a below average performance. They scored 74 points against Iowa and had a field goal percentage of 41.2%. The team’s top scorer is Taryn Todd, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 17.2, while Freddy Hicks also carries a PPG average of 17 into the game.

Taryn Todd (G) 17.2 3.5 3.2
Freddy Hicks (G) 17.0 6.2 3.5
Dyondre Dominguez (F) 13.0 8.8 1.2

San Diego Offense Breakdown

In contrast to their season average of 73 points per game, the San Diego had a below average performance. They scored 67 points against Navy and had a field goal percentage of 45.1%. On the offensive front, the Toreros have a season-long field goal percentage of 44%, ranking 226th nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 282nd in terms of percentage and 247th in three-pointers made.

Wayne McKinney II (G) 15.6 4.2 3.6
Deuce Turner (G) 12.0 1.6 2.0
Dragos Lungu (G) 10.2 5.2 2.6

Arkansas State Team Defense

At present, the Red Wolves’ defense is nationally ranked 214th, allowing 90.0 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Arkansas State’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 52.9% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 35.7% this season.

San Diego Team Defense

In the current season, the San Diego defense has excelled, sitting 57th in the nation by allowing 64.8 points per game. In today’s game vs. Arkansas State, the San Diego defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, San Diego made 19 free-throws vs. the Toreros.

Red Wolves vs Toreros Trends

  • Through their last three road contests, the Red Wolves offense has averaged 75 points per game while allowing an average of 91. Arkansas State posted an overall record of 0-3 while going 1-2 ATS.
  • When looking at their past five home matchups, San Diego has an ATS record of 1-4 while averaging 75 per game. The team went 0-5 overall in these games.
  • Going back to their last three games as the underdog, the Toreros have a straight up record of 1-2. But, their mark vs the spread was just 1-2.
  • In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Red Wolves have a strong straight up record of 2-1. In addition, their ATS record was 2-1 in these scenarios.

Red Wolves vs Toreros Prediction

Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +3.5, the Toreros is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 152.5 and our model has the Red Wolves and Toreros finishing with a combined 144 points. Our pick is to take the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.