Austin Peay Governors vs Tarleton State Texans ncaa betting

NCAAB Austin Peay vs Sacramento State Prediction 11/22/2023

The Austin Peay Governors (0-3) travel to face off against the Sacramento State Hornets (0-4) on Wednesday, November 22nd. This game will be played at Pavilion in San Juan Capistrano and televised on FloH. Both Austin Peay and Sacramento State will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Tip-off is scheduled for 3:00 ET.

Austin Peay Governors vs Sacramento State Hornets

The Austin Peay Governors Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Austin Peay Governors, who have been favored in all three of their games so far, will face Sacramento State with a winless record. As Austin Peay enters today’s game, their ATS record stands at 0-3. Factoring in their performance from the previous season, Austin Peay has gone 2-6 against the spread in their last ten games.

Austin Peay comes in with an over/under record of 0-3-0 through three games, with their games averaging a combined 123.7 points per game so far. The Governors’ last five games have finished with a combined 67 points per game and an over/under record of 0-3.

The Sacramento State Hornets Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Sacramento State, who has yet to win a game this season, are 0-4 overall. In their previous ten home games, Sacramento State has a 1-9 record, counting last year. As Sacramento State enters today’s game, their ATS record stands at 0-4. Looking back to the previous season, Sacramento State has gone 3-6 against the spread in their last ten games.

So far, Sacramento State’s games have averaged 149.8 points per game with the average over/under line being 142.6 points. The Hornets’ have recorded an over/under record of 2-0 in their last three games, with their games averaging 89 points per game.

Austin Peay Offense Breakdown

Most recently, the Austin Peay offense finished with just 59 points vs. Tarleton State. For the game, they hit 6/12 three-point attempts and a field goal percentage of 42.6%. Leading the team in scoring is Demarcus Sharp, who is averaging 15.6 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Ja’Monta Black also maintains a PPG average of 13 heading into game.

Name PPG REB AST
Demarcus Sharp (G) 15.6 8.6 5.8
Ja’Monta Black (G) 13.0 4.8 0.8
Dez White (G) 12.4 2.0 1.8

Sacramento State Offense Breakdown

Compared to their season average of 78.4 points per game, Sacramento State struggled in their previous game. Against Bakersfield, the Hornets scored 71 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 40%. Offensively, the Hornets have a season long field goal percentage of 42%, which is 318th in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 213rd in percentage and 9th in three-pointers made.

Name PPG REB AST
Duncan Powell (F) 14.6 11.6 2.6
Zee Hamoda (G) 14.2 3.6 2.4
Brandon Betson (G) 11.6 1.0 2.2

Austin Peay Team Defense

At this time, the Governors’ defense is positioned 58th in the country, permitting 65.6 points per game. Against Tarleton State in their most recent game, the Austin Peay defense gave up a total of 66 points while allowing Tarleton State to hit 45% of their shots.

Sacramento State Team Defense

Facing Austin Peay, Sacramento State aims for a better defensive performance, given their current average of 80.2 points allowed per game (174th). In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Sacramento State’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 41.6% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 30.1% this season.

Governors vs Hornets Trends

  • When looking at their past three road matchups, Austin Peay has an ATS record of 1-2 while averaging 55 per game. The team went 0-3 overall in these games.
  • Through their last five home games, Sacramento State has an ATS record of just 1-4. However, their overall record was 1-4 while averaging 66 points per game.
  • Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the Hornets have gone 1-4 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-4.
  • In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Governors have a straight up record of 1-2 and an ATS mark of 1-2.

Governors vs Hornets Prediction

As the underdogs with a spread of +1.5, we recommend going with the Hornets on the point spread. We not only see them covering the spread but also have a strong likelihood of winning this one outright, especially if you’re seeking a higher payout on the moneyline.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 131.5 and given that our model is projecting 142 points between the teams, we like the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


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