ball state vs little rock ncaab prediction

NCAAB Ball State vs Little Rock Prediction 11/28/2023

The Ball State Cardinals (3-1) travel to face off against the Little Rock Trojans (1-3) on Tuesday, November 28th. This game will be played at Jack Stephens Center in Little Rock and televised on ESPN+. Ball State is coming off a win in their previous game, while Little Rock is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Georgia State. Tip-off is set for 7:30 ET.

Ball State Cardinals vs Little Rock Trojans

The Ball State Cardinals Are Coming Off A Win

In today’s game against Little Rock, the Ball State team, who has a 3-1 overall record, will hit the road. Looking back at their last ten road games, Ball State has a 4-6 record, going back to last year. Looking at Ball State’s ATS performance thus far, they enter today’s game with a 3-1 ATS record. Taking into account their previous ten games, which includes last season, Ball State has gone 4-4 vs. the spread.

So far, Ball State’s games have averaged 141 points per game with the average over/under line being 146.1 points. The Cardinals have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last three games, with their games averaging 72 points per game.

The Little Rock Trojans Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Little Rock comes into this game with a 1-3 record, having played four games so far. In their previous five games at home, including last year, Little Rock has a 1-4 record. Looking at Little Rock’s ATS performance, they have a current ATS record of 1-3 going into today’s game. Taking into account their last ten games, which includes games from the previous season, Little Rock has a 6-4 ATS record.

After four games, Little Rock has an over/under record of 3-1-0, with their games averaging a combined 162.5 points per game so far. When looking at the Trojans’ last three games, their over/under record is 2-1, with their games averaging 80 points per game.

Ball State Offense Breakdown

Ball State is coming off a good offensive performance, putting up 92 points vs. UAPB. This figure is more than their season average of 80.5 points per game. Basheer Jihad is leading the team in scoring at 16 points per contest. Jalin Anderson has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 14.7 going into the game.

Name PPG REB AST
Basheer Jihad (F) 16.0 6.5 1.5
Jalin Anderson (G) 14.7 3.8 3.8
Mickey Pearson Jr (F) 12.7 4.3 0.8

Little Rock Offense Breakdown

Coming off their recent game, the Little Rock offense tallied 77 points in a matchup against Georgia State. Their field goal percentage for the game was 38.7%, and they made 5 threes. Deantoni Gordon is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 17 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Jamir Chaplin brings a PPG average of 15.8 into the game.

Name PPG REB AST
Deantoni Gordon (F) 17.0 5.2 1.5
Jamir Chaplin (G) 15.8 8.7 1.0
Khalen Robinson (G) 19.0 5.4 5.4

Ball State Team Defense

Currently, the Cardinals’ defense holds the 21st rank in the nation, allowing 60.8 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 4.8 threes per game vs. Little Rock. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 38.4%.

Little Rock Team Defense

Coming into today’s game, the Little Rock defense is giving up an average of 85.5 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 7.2 threes per game vs. Ball State. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 34.5%.

Cardinals vs Trojans Trends

  • In their last ten games away from home, the Cardinals have a straight up record of 4-6 while going 5-5 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 71 points per game in these contests.
  • Through their last five home contests, the Trojans offense has averaged 84 points per game while allowing an average of 90. Little Rock posted an overall record of 1-4 while going 1-3-1 ATS.
  • Spanning across their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Cardinals have gone 6-4 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 4-6.
  • The Trojans have played well in their last five games as the betting favorite, going 4-1 straight up and 3-2 against the spread.

Cardinals vs Trojans Prediction

We’re putting our money on the Trojans to win, and have the projected score sitting at 74-70. We also like them to cover the spread, so our recommendation is to bet on the Trojans at -2.5.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 156, and our model predicts the Cardinals and Trojans to score a combined 144 points. We recommend betting on the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.