evansville vs missouri ncaab prediction

NCAAB Evansville vs Missouri State Prediction 11/29/2023

The Evansville Aces (4-0) travel to face off against the Missouri State Bears (4-1) on Wednesday, November 29th. This game will be played at Great Southern Bank Arena in Springfield and televised on ESPN+. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 8:00 ET.

Evansville Aces vs Missouri State Bears

The Evansville Aces Are Coming Off A Win

Today, Evansville will face Missouri State in their fifth game of the season. So far, they have a perfect 4-0 record. In their first four games, they played two on the road and two at home. Evansville has a perfect 4-0 ATS record entering today’s game. In away games this season, Evansville is 2-0 vs. the spread, and in their last ten road games, they are 4-5-1 ATS.

In four games, Evansville comes in with an over/under mark of 1-3-0, with their games averaging 140 points per game. In the Aces’ last five games, the combined scoring average stands at 88 points per game, accompanied by an over/under record of 2-2.

The Missouri State Bears Are Coming Off A Win

Heading into their sixth game of the season, Missouri State holds a 4-1 overall record. In their one road game, they are 0-1, while they are 4-0 at home. In terms of covering the spread, Missouri State is currently sitting at 3-2, which is above .500. Looking back to last season, Missouri State has a 5-3-1 ATS record in their previous ten games.

So far, Missouri State’s games have averaged 136.8 points per game with the average over/under line being 141.2 points. When looking at the Bears’ last three games, their over/under record is 1-1, with their games averaging 78 points per game.

Evansville Offense Breakdown

In their recent matchup, the Evansville offense ended with 93 points against Southeast Missouri State. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 56.5% and made 4 threes. The team’s top scorer is Ben Humrichous, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 19.5, while Yacine Toumi also carries a PPG average of 10.5 into the game.

Ben Humrichous (F) 19.5 5.0 2.3
Yacine Toumi (F) 10.5 5.2 1.8
Joshua Hughes (F) 9.7 5.3 0.8

Missouri State Offense Breakdown

Missouri State recently showcased a strong offensive performance, scoring 92 points against South Carolina State. This output exceeded their season average of 74.7 points per game. The Missouri State offense has been looking to get up shots from outside so far this season, averaging 23.3 three-point attempts per contest. Overall, they have connected on 38% of their looks from outside this season.

Brad Mason (G) 15.8 3.7 3.0
Donovan Clay (G) 14.3 7.3 3.3
Matthew Lee (G) 13.5 4.5 5.7

Evansville Team Defense

This season, the Evansville defense has been impressive, holding the 23rd position in the country while permitting an average of 61.3 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Evansville’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 34.7% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 31.0% this season.

Missouri State Team Defense

Currently, the Bears’ defense holds the 60th rank in the nation, allowing 65.3 points per game. In their most recent game, the Missouri State defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as South Carolina State knocked down 10 three-pointers on their way to 74 points.

Aces vs Bears Trends

  • The Aces are 3-0 ATS in their three last road games and 3-0 straight-up.
  • In their last five games at home, the Bears have a straight up record of 2-3 while going 1-2-2 vs. the spread. The team averaged 59 points per game in this stretch.
  • Evansville has done well both straight up and vs the spread as the underdog, going 4-1 SU and 4-1 ATS in their last five games.
  • As the betting favorite, the Bears have an ATS record of 3-2 in their last five games. In these matchups their, straight up record was 4-1.

Aces vs Bears Prediction

For a point-spread bet in this Bears vs. Bears matchup, we’re leaning towards the Bears at -10.5. Although our projections show the Bears winning 75-69, we suggest placing your bet on the Aces for the point-spread.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 139.5, and our model projects the Aces and Bears to reach a combined total of 144 points. Our bet is on taking the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.