Florida vs Baylor ncaab prediction

NCAAB: Florida vs. Baylor Prediction 11/24/2023

The Florida Gators (4-1) travel to face off against the Baylor Bears (4-0) on Friday, November 24th. This game will be played at Barclays Center in Brooklyn and televised on ESPN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 5:30 ET.

Florida Gators vs Baylor Bears

The Florida Gators Are Coming Off A Win

Florida comes into this game with a 4-1 record, following their 86-71 win over Pittsburgh. They are 1-1 on the road and 3-0 at home. Florida has a current ATS record of 2-3 heading into today’s game. Over their last five games, the team is 2-3 vs. the spread.

In five games, Florida comes in with an over/under mark of 4-0-1, with their games averaging 156 points per game. The Gators’ have recorded an over/under record of 2-0-1 in their last three games, with their games averaging 88 points per game.

The Baylor Bears Are Coming Off A Win

The Florida Gators, who are currently undefeated at 4-0, will aim to maintain their perfect record following their game against Florida. Up to this point, Baylor has played one game on the road and three games at home. As of now, Baylor’s record against the spread is 2-2 heading into today’s game. Including games from last season, Baylor holds a 5-4 ATS record over their last ten games.

Baylor comes in with an over/under record of 3-1-0 through four games, with their games averaging a combined 157.2 points per game so far. Looking at the Bears’ last three games, their over/under record is 1-1 with their games averaging 90 points per game.

Florida Offense Breakdown

The Florida offense is coming off a game in which they scored 86 points vs. Pittsburgh. Overall their field goal percentage was 47% while connecting on 8 threes. In terms of offense, the Gators have a season-long field goal percentage of 48%, putting them 81st in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 174th in percentage and 228th in three-pointers made.

Name PPG REB AST
Walter Clayton Jr. (G) 17.2 4.0 4.4
Tyrese Samuel (F) 13.8 8.8 2.4
Riley Kugel (G) 11.4 3.2 2.6

Baylor Offense Breakdown

In their latest game, Baylor’s offense looked good, scoring 88 points against Oregon State. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 52.4% and made 15/25 free throws. The team’s top scorer is Ja’Kobe Walter, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 19.2, while Jayden Nunn also carries a PPG average of 13.2 into the game.

Name PPG REB AST
Ja’Kobe Walter (G) 19.2 4.8 0.8
Jayden Nunn (G) 13.2 2.4 3.0
RayJ Dennis (G) 11.8 3.6 5.6

Florida Team Defense

At this time, the Gators’ defense is positioned 104th in the country, permitting 70.6 points per game. The Florida defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 71 points and allowed Pittsburgh to connect on 10 threes.

Baylor Team Defense

The Bears’ defense is presently ranked 95th nationally, allowing an average of 69.4 points per contest. Baylor’s three-point defense is currently 13th in the country at 3.8 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 34.4% of their shots vs. Baylor.

Gators vs Bears Trends

  • Through their last five road games, Florida has an ATS record of just 2-3. However, their overall record was 2-3 while averaging 74 points per game.
  • Through their last three home games, Baylor has an ATS record of just 1-2. However, their overall record was 2-1 while averaging 75 points per game.
  • Spanning across their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Gators have gone 4-5-1 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 2-8.
  • Although the Bears have a strong straight up record in their last three games as the betting favorite, they have not done as well vs the spread going 1-2.

Gators vs Bears Prediction

We’re calling a win for the Bears, with a final score of 78-66, and we’re taking them to cover the spread. Our recommendation is to bet on the Bears at -3.5.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 157, and our model projects the Gators and Bears to reach a combined total of 144 points. Our bet is on taking the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.