new mexico state vs fresno state ncaab prediction

NCAAB: New Mexico St vs Fresno St Prediction 11/21/2023

The New Mexico State Aggies (1-2) travel to face off against the Fresno State Bulldogs (1-1) on Tuesday, November 21st. This game will be played at Hard Rock Hotel Riviera Maya in Cancun and televised on CBSS. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 8:30 ET.

New Mexico State Aggies vs Fresno State Bulldogs

The New Mexico State Aggies Are Coming Off A Win

After three games, New Mexico State’s record stands at 1-2. In their previous three road games, including last year, New Mexico State has yet to secure a victory, going 0-3. Regarding ATS, New Mexico State currently holds a record of 0-3. Over their last three games, the Aggies have gone 0-2 ATS with an average scoring margin of +3.

Up to this point, games involving New Mexico State have had an average of 148 points per game, with the average over/under line set at 140.8 points. Their over/under record is 2-1-0. In the Aggies’ last five games, the combined scoring average stands at 71 points per game, accompanied by an over/under record of 2-1.

The Fresno State Bulldogs Are Coming Off A Win

After their most recent game, a 87-68 win over Morgan State, Fresno State’s record now stands at 1-1. In their last ten games at home, which includes games from last year, Fresno State has a 2-8 record. Prior to today’s game, Fresno State holds a 1-1 ATS record. Looking back to last season, the team has a 2-0 ATS record in their last three games, with an average scoring margin of +12.

Fresno State’s games have, on average, featured 151.5 points per game leading to an over/under record of 2-0-0. Their average over/under line is currently 139.2 points so far. The Bulldogs’ have recorded an over/under record of 2-0 in their last three games, with their games averaging 90 points per game.

New Mexico State Offense Breakdown

In their most recent game, the Aggies’ offense tallied 76 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 71.6 points per game. Currently leading the team in scoring is Christian Cook who comes into today’s matchup averaging 12.2. Robert Carpenter also heads into the game with a PPG average of 11.

Christian Cook (G) 12.2 2.8 1.4
Robert Carpenter (F) 11.0 4.6 0.8
Jaylin Jackson-Posey (G) 10.2 4.4 4.2

Fresno State Offense Breakdown

Fresno State finished with 87 points in their game against Morgan State. This total surpasses their season-average of 77.7 points per game. Donavan Yap was the leading scorer for the Bulldogs, putting up 23 points. In addition, Isaiah Hill contributed 17 points.

Xavier Dusell (G) 15.7 4.3 1.7
Isaiah Hill (G) 12.7 3.3 7.3
Donavan Yap (G) 10.7 1.3 1.7

New Mexico State Team Defense

New Mexico State’s defense has been playing well, ranking 76th nationally, with 68.0 points allowed per game. In their most recent game, the New Mexico State defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as Northern Colorado knocked down 9 three-pointers on their way to 71 points.

Fresno State Team Defense

The Bulldogs’ defense is presently ranked 101st nationally, allowing an average of 71.0 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Fresno State’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 45.2% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 46.9% this season.

Aggies vs Bulldogs Trends

  • Through their last three road games, New Mexico State has an ATS record of just 0-3. However, their overall record was 0-3 while averaging 62 points per game.
  • Although Fresno State has a straight up record of 0-3 in their last three home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 1-2. The team averaged 71 points per game in these games.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Aggies have a straight up record of 1-9. But, their mark vs the spread was just 3-7.
  • In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Bulldogs have a straight up record of 6-4 and an ATS mark of 5-5.

Aggies vs Bulldogs Prediction

We’re putting our money on the Bulldogs to win, and have the projected score sitting at 77-67. We also like them to cover the spread, so our recommendation is to bet on the Bulldogs at -5.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 141, and our model predicts the Aggies and Bulldogs to score a combined 144 points. We recommend betting on the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.