north carolina vs conecticut ncaab prediction

NCAAB North Carolina vs Connecticut Prediction 12/5/2023

The North Carolina Tar Heels (7-1) travel to face off against the Connecticut Huskies (7-1) on Tuesday, December 5th. This game will be played at Madison Square Garden in New York and televised on ESPN. North Carolina is coming off a win in their previous game, while Connecticut is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Kansas. Tip-off is set for 9:00 ET.

North Carolina Tar Heels vs Connecticut Huskies

The North Carolina Tar Heels Are Coming Off A Win

North Carolina comes into this game with a 7-1 record, having played a total of eight games. It is worth mentioning that the Tar Heels have been favored in every game they have played so far. As of today’s game, North Carolina has a 4-4 ATS record. Examining their performance in the last five games, they are 3-2 vs. the spread.

After eight games, North Carolina has an over/under record of 5-3-0, with their games averaging a combined 158.2 points per game so far. The Tar Heels’ last five games have culminated with an average of 164 points per game and an over/under record of 4-1.

The Connecticut Huskies Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

After their most recent loss to Kansas (69-65), the Huskies come into today’s game with a record of 7-1. As the away team, the Huskies have a record of 1-1 and they are undefeated at home with a record of 6-0. As of today’s game, Connecticut has a 4-4 record against the spread this season. Looking at their last five games, the team is 2-3 vs. the spread.

Through eight games, Connecticut has an over/under record of 4-4-0 with their games averaging a combined 147.4 points per game so far. The Huskies’ have recorded an over/under record of 1-2 in their last three games, with their games averaging 143 points per game.

North Carolina Offense Breakdown

North Carolina’s offense is coming off a strong performance vs. Florida State, finishing the game with a total of 78 points. Their season average is now 86.2 points per game. The team’s top scorer is RJ Davis, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 20.4, while Armando Bacot also carries a PPG average of 16.2 into the game.

Name PPG REB AST
RJ Davis (G) 20.4 3.1 2.9
Armando Bacot (F) 16.2 11.8 1.0
Harrison Ingram (F) 14.5 6.8 2.2

Connecticut Offense Breakdown

In their most recent game, the Connecticut offense concluded with only 65 points against Kansas. Throughout the game, they made 11/28 three-point attempts and had a field goal percentage of 41.1%. The team’s top scorer is Tristen Newton, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 17.5, while Cam Spencer also carries a PPG average of 15 into the game.

Name PPG REB AST
Tristen Newton (G) 17.5 7.9 6.2
Cam Spencer (G) 15.0 3.4 3.5
Donovan Clingan (C) 14.1 6.1 1.0

North Carolina Team Defense

At this time, the Tar Heels’ defense is positioned 145th in the country, permitting 72.0 points per game. In their previous game vs. Florida State, the Seminoles finished with a field goal percentage of 42% and a total of 70 points vs. North Carolina.

Connecticut Team Defense

This season, the Connecticut defense has been impressive, holding the 19th position in the country while permitting an average of 61.6 points per contest. So far, the Connecticut defense is giving up an average of 5.6 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 9.6 times per game (266th).

Tar Heels vs Huskies Trends

  • Through their last ten road games, North Carolina has an ATS record of just 2-8. However, their overall record was 4-6 while averaging 69 points per game.
  • The Huskies are 3-2 ATS in their last home games and 3-2 straight-up.
  • As the betting underdog, the Tar Heels have an ATS mark of just 0-3 in their last three games. North Carolina posted a straight up mark of 0-3 in these matchups.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Huskies have a straight up record of 10-0. But, their mark vs the spread was just 7-3.

Tar Heels vs Huskies Prediction

The Huskies is our pick to not only win with a projected score of 75-67. But we also favor them to cover the spread. Our bet is on the Huskies at -5.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 153.5 and given that our model is projecting 142 points between the teams, we like the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.