buckeyes vs nittany lions betting predictions

NCAAB: Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Penn State Nittany Lions Prediction 12/9/2023

The Ohio State Buckeyes (8-1) travel to face off against the Penn State Nittany Lions (4-5) on Saturday, December 9th. This game will be played at Bryce Jordan Center in University Park and televised on BTN. Ohio State is coming off a win in their previous game, while Penn State is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Bucknell. Tip-off is set for 6:00 ET.

Ohio State Buckeyes vs Penn State Nittany Lions

The Ohio State Buckeyes Are Coming Off A Win

Ohio State enters today’s game against Penn State with a season mark of 8-1. In away games, the Buckeyes are 1-0 this year and have a 5-1 record at home. Ohio State has a subpar ATS record at 3-4. However, in their past five games, the team is 3-2 vs. the spread.

In nine games, Ohio State comes in with an over/under mark of 4-3-0, with their games averaging 144.6 points per game. The Buckeyes’ last five games have finished with a combined 153 points per game and an over/under record of 4-1.

The Penn State Nittany Lions Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

After nine games, Penn State has a record of 4-5. The Nittany Lions are 0-4 on the road and 4-1 at home. Prior to today’s game, Penn State holds a 3-6 record against the spread (ATS). In their last five games, the team is 1-4 ATS.

So far, Penn State’s games have averaged 146.1 points per game with the average over/under line being 140.2 points. Looking at the Nittany Lions’ last three games, their over/under record is 2-0-1 with their games averaging 153 points per game.

Ohio State Offense Breakdown

Ohio State recently showcased a strong offensive performance, scoring 88 points against Central Michigan. This output exceeded their season average of 80.9 points per game. Leading the team in scoring is Bruce Thornton, who is averaging 18.7 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Roddy Gayle Jr. also maintains a PPG average of 14.7 heading into game.

Name PPG REB AST
Bruce Thornton (G) 18.7 2.3 4.2
Roddy Gayle Jr. (G) 14.7 5.2 3.8
Jamison Battle (F) 13.9 4.4 1.1

Penn State Offense Breakdown

In their recent matchup, the Penn State offense ended with 67 points against Bucknell. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 46.9% and made 4 threes. The Penn State offense has been looking to get up shots from outside so far this season, averaging 24.3 three-point attempts per contest. Overall, they have connected on 29% of their looks from outside this season.

Name PPG REB AST
Kanye Clary (G) 16.2 2.8 2.6
Adrian Baldwin Jr (G) 14.6 1.9 3.4
Qudus Wahab (F) 10.4 9.3 0.8

Ohio State Team Defense

This season, the Ohio State defense has been impressive, holding the 58th position in the country while permitting an average of 65.6 points per contest. So far, the Ohio State defense is giving up an average of 9.1 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 10.2 times per game (296th).

Penn State Team Defense

So far, the Nittany Lions’ defense is ranked 104th in the country at 69.1 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Penn State’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 45.2% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 30.8% this season.

Buckeyes vs Nittany Lions Trends

  • In their last three road games, Ohio State has averaged 73 points per game while allowing 64. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-1 while going 2-1 vs. the spread.
  • When looking at their past ten home matchups, Penn State has an ATS record of 6-3-1 while averaging 73 per game. The team went 4-6 overall in these games.
  • The last ten games that Penn State was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 7-2-1 while going 5-5 straight up.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, Ohio State has an ATS mark of 4-6 while going 9-1 straight up.

Buckeyes vs Nittany Lions Prediction

Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +5.5, the Nittany Lions is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 148.5, and our model predicts the Buckeyes and Nittany Lions to score a combined 142 points. We recommend betting on the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.