Sam Houston State Bearkats vs Troy Trojans ncaab bettin g

NCAAB: Sam Houston State vs. Troy Prediction 11/20/2023

The Sam Houston State Bearkats (1-3) travel to face off against the Troy Trojans (0-2) on Monday, November 20th. This game will be played at Trojan Arena in Troy and televised on ESPN+. Both Sam Houston State and Troy will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:00 ET.

Sam Houston State Bearkats vs Troy Trojans

The Sam Houston State Bearkats Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Bearkats have a 1-3 record heading into today’s game, having lost their most recent game to Ole Miss (70-67). In their previous ten road games, Sam Houston State went 6-4, including last season. As of now, Sam Houston State holds a 1-3 ATS record heading into today’s game. In games played on the road, Sam Houston State has gone 1-2 vs. the spread this season, while also posting a 6-4 ATS record in their last ten road games.

Up to this point, games involving Sam Houston State have had an average of 141.2 points per game, with the average over/under line set at 137.6 points. Their over/under record is 3-1-0. Over the course of the last five games, the Bearkats’ games have averaged 65 points per game, along with an over/under record of 4-1.

The Troy Trojans Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Heading into the game against Sam Houston State, Troy has yet to win a game this season, losing their first two. In their last three home games, which includes games from last year, Troy has not been able to secure a victory, going 0-3. Prior to today’s game, Troy has a 0-2 ATS record. Over their previous ten games, which includes the previous season, Troy is sitting at 4-4 vs. the spread.

Through two games, Troy has an over/under record of 2-0-0 with their games averaging a combined 159.5 points per game so far. When looking at the Trojans’ last three games, their over/under record is 0-1, with their games averaging 88 points per game.

Sam Houston State Offense Breakdown

The Bearkats’ offense finished with 67 points in their previous game, mirroring their current average of 68.5 points per contest. The team’s scoring leader is Davon Barnes, who holds an average of 15.8 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Lamar Wilkerson is averaging 13.2 points per game this season.

Name PPG REB AST
Davon Barnes (G) 15.8 2.8 1.5
Lamar Wilkerson (G) 13.2 1.5 1.0
Jaden Ray (G) 8.8 4.8 5.0

Troy Offense Breakdown

Coming off their recent game, the Troy offense tallied 80 points in a matchup against Oregon State. Their field goal percentage for the game was 33.8%, and they made 10 threes. Leading the team in scoring is Tayton Conerway, who is averaging 13.2 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Christyon Eugene also maintains a PPG average of 13 heading into game.

Name PPG REB AST
Tayton Conerway (G) 13.2 3.0 2.8
Christyon Eugene (G) 13.0 5.2 4.5
Thomas Dowd (F) 11.2 6.0 0.8

Sam Houston State Team Defense

Currently, the Bearkats’ defense holds the 116th rank in the nation, allowing 72.8 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.8 threes per game vs. Troy. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 25.2%.

Troy Team Defense

So far, the Trojans’ defense is ranked 59th in the country at 65.5 points per contest. Against Oregon State in their most recent game, the Troy defense gave up a total of 81 points while allowing Oregon State to hit 42% of their shots.

Bearkats vs Trojans Trends

  • When looking at their past three road matchups, Sam Houston State has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 67 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
  • Across their five previous home games, Troy has an ATS mark of 2-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 1-4 while averaging 76 points per game.
  • Looking back on the team’s last three games as the underdog, the Trojans have a straight up record of 0-3. Their record vs the spread in these games was 2-1.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, Sam Houston State has an ATS mark of 7-3 while going 8-2 straight up.

Bearkats vs Trojans Prediction

The Trojans come in as the underdog at +1.5, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 141 and our model has the Bearkats and Trojans finishing with a combined 144 points. Our pick is to take the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.