san jose state vs cal poly ncaab prediction

NCAAB San Jose State vs Cal Poly Prediction 11/29/2023

The San Jose State Spartans (3-2) travel to face off against the Cal Poly Mustangs (1-4) on Wednesday, November 29th. This game will be played at Mott Athletics Center in San Luis Obispo and televised on ESPN+. San Jose State is coming off a win in their previous game, while Cal Poly is looking to get back on track from a loss to the California Baptist. Tip-off is set for 10:00 ET.

San Jose State Spartans vs Cal Poly Mustangs

The San Jose State Spartans Are Coming Off A Win

San Jose State comes into their 6th game of the season with a 3-2 record. In their past five road games, including last year, San Jose State has a record of 3-2. San Jose State has a winning record against the spread at 3-2. When factoring in last season, San Jose State is 5-3 vs. the spread in their last ten games.

In five games, San Jose State comes in with an over/under mark of 3-2-0, with their games averaging 131 points per game. The Spartans have an over/under record of 1-1 in their last three games, with their games averaging 75 points per game.

The Cal Poly Mustangs Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Cal Poly enters today’s game against San Jose State with a record of 1-4 this season. In their last ten home games, including those from last year, Cal Poly has a 2-8 record. As of now, Cal Poly has a 1-4 record against the spread heading into today’s game. However, in their previous five games, they hold a 2-1-1 record vs. the spread.

Cal Poly’s games have, on average, featured 139 points per game leading to an over/under record of 2-3-0. Their average over/under line is currently 136.2 points so far. The Mustangs’ have recorded an over/under record of 1-1 in their last three games, with their games averaging 68 points per game.

San Jose State Offense Breakdown

Coming off a good offensive performance, San Jose State’s offense scored 78 points against North Dakota State. Their field goal percentage for the game was 47.3%, and they went 15/20 from the free-throw line. On the offensive front, the Spartans have a season-long field goal percentage of 47%, ranking 119th nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 130th in terms of percentage and 41st in three-pointers made.

Tibet Gorener (F) 14.6 5.1 0.4
Trey Anderson (F) 14.4 6.1 1.4
Myron Amey Jr. (G) 13.0 4.1 3.3

Cal Poly Offense Breakdown

Cal Poly offense recently wrapped up a game with a total of 58 points against California Baptist. In that game, they made 4/19 three-point attempts and achieved a field goal percentage of 38.7%. Kobe Sanders led the team in scoring, putting up 17 points. Additionally, Aaron Price Jr. contributed 15 points for the Mustangs.

Kobe Sanders (G) 16.2 3.8 1.3
Jarred Hyder (G) 11.7 2.0 2.8
Quentin Jones (G) 8.3 3.8 1.2

San Jose State Team Defense

At this time, the Spartans’ defense is positioned 34th in the country, permitting 62.7 points per game. San Jose State’s three-point defense is currently 7th in the country at 3.3 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 33.9% of their shots vs. San Jose State.

Cal Poly Team Defense

Coming into today’s game, the Cal Poly defense is giving up an average of 73.2 points per contest. Cal Poly’s three-point defense is currently 53rd in the country at 6.3 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 48.1% of their shots vs. Cal Poly.

Spartans vs Mustangs Trends

  • San Jose State has a 1-2 record in their last three road games. In this stretch, they averaged 56 points per game while allowing 57. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
  • When looking at their past three home matchups, Cal Poly has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 58 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, Cal Poly has an ATS mark of 7-2-1 while going 2-8 straight up.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the favorite, the Spartans have a straight up record of 7-3. Their record vs the spread in these games was 7-3.

Spartans vs Mustangs Prediction

As the underdogs with a spread of +10.5, we recommend going with the Mustangs on the point spread. We not only see them covering the spread but also have a strong likelihood of winning this one outright, especially if you’re seeking a higher payout on the moneyline.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 128.5 and given that our model is projecting 143 points between the teams, we like the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.