tennessee vs north carolina ncaab prediction

NCAAB Tennessee vs North Carolina Prediction 11/29/2023

The Tennessee Volunteers (4-2) travel to face off against the North Carolina Tar Heels (5-0) on Wednesday, November 29th. This game will be played at Dean E. Smith Center in Chapel Hill and televised on ESPN. North Carolina is coming off a win in their previous game, while Tennessee is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Kansas. Tip-off is set for 7:15 ET.

Tennessee Volunteers vs North Carolina Tar Heels

The Tennessee Volunteers Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Tennessee enters today’s game with a record of 4-2 after losing their last game to Kansas (69-60). The Volunteers will play today with a 2-2 record on the road this season and a perfect 2-0 record at home. As of today, Tennessee’s against the spread (ATS) record is 3-3. In away games this season, Tennessee is 2-2 vs. the spread, but in their previous ten road games, they are 2-8 ATS.

Up to this point, games involving Tennessee have had an average of 135.2 points per game, with the average over/under line set at 137.9 points. Their over/under record is 3-3-0. The Volunteers’ have recorded an over/under record of 1-2 in their last three games, with their games averaging 66 points per game.

The North Carolina Tar Heels Are Coming Off A Win

Heading into their 6th game of the season, North Carolina remains undefeated with a 5-0 record. In their last ten home games, which includes games from last year, North Carolina has gone 4-6. North Carolina comes into today’s game with a 3-2 against the spread (ATS) record. In their previous five games, they have gone 3-2 vs. the spread.

After five games, North Carolina has an over/under record of 3-2-0, with their games averaging a combined 152.4 points per game so far. In their most recent three games, the Tar Heels’ over/under record is 3-0, with their games averaging 86 points per game.

Tennessee Offense Breakdown

In their most recent game, the Tennessee offense put up just 60 points vs. the Kansas Jayhawks. Overall, they are now averaging 73.7 points per game which is 228th in the country. Dalton Knecht is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 17.5. Meanwhile, Jordan Gainey also brings a PPG average of 11.7 into the game.

Name PPG REB AST
Dalton Knecht (G) 17.5 4.7 1.7
Jordan Gainey (G) 11.7 2.3 1.8
Josiah-Jordan James (G) 9.3 7.0 1.2

North Carolina Offense Breakdown

The Tar Heels’ offense wrapped up their last game with 87 points, aligning closely with their current season average of 85.3 points per contest. The team’s top scorer is RJ Davis, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 18.2, while Armando Bacot also maintains a PPG average of 15.8 leading up to the game.

Name PPG REB AST
RJ Davis (G) 18.2 3.0 2.7
Armando Bacot (F) 15.8 11.7 0.8
Harrison Ingram (F) 14.2 7.0 2.7

Tennessee Team Defense

Coming into today’s game, the Tennessee defense is giving up an average of 61.5 points per contest. Against Kansas in their most recent game, the Tennessee defense gave up a total of 69 points while allowing Kansas to hit 51% of their shots.

North Carolina Team Defense

At this time, the Tar Heels’ defense is positioned 92nd in the country, permitting 69.0 points per game. In today’s game vs. Tennessee, the North Carolina defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, North Carolina made 25 free-throws vs. the Tar Heels.

Volunteers vs Tar Heels Trends

  • Across their three previous road games, Tennessee has an ATS mark of 1-2. Their straight up record in these matchups was 1-2 while averaging 66 points per game.
  • When looking at their past three home matchups, North Carolina has an ATS record of 1-2 while averaging 66 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Volunteers have a straight up record of 2-8. Their record vs the spread in these games was 3-7.
  • The last ten games that North Carolina was favored, they have an ATS mark of 6-4 while going 8-2 straight up.

Volunteers vs Tar Heels Prediction

We’re calling a win for the Tar Heels, with a final score of 79-65, and we’re taking them to cover the spread. Our recommendation is to bet on the Tar Heels at -1.5.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 142 and our model has the Volunteers and Tar Heels finishing with a combined 144 points. Our pick is to take the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.