UAB vs MTSU ncaab prediction

NCAAB: UAB vs. MTSU Prediction 11/21/2023

The UAB Blazers (2-2) travel to face off against the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (2-1) on Tuesday, November 21st. This game will be played at Murphy Athletic Center in Murfreesboro and televised on ESPN+. UAB is coming off a win in their previous game, while Middle Tennessee is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Western Carolina. Tip-off is set for 7:30 ET.

UAB Blazers vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

The UAB Blazers Are Coming Off A Win

UAB is getting ready for their fifth game of the season, coming in with a 2-2 record. In their previous five road games, including those from last year, UAB has a 2-3 record. As UAB gets ready to face Middle Tennessee, their ATS record stands at 1-3. In their previous ten games, including those from the previous season, UAB has a 5-5 ATS record.

In four games, UAB comes in with an over/under mark of 3-1-0, with their games averaging 145.8 points per game. Looking at the Blazers’ last three games, their over/under record is 2-1 with their games averaging 74 points per game.

The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Middle Tennessee comes into today’s game with a 2-1 record, after losing their most recent game to Western Carolina (66-64). In their previous ten home games, Middle Tennessee has a record of 2-8, which includes games from last year. As of now, Middle Tennessee has a 2-1 record against the spread going into today’s game. Looking back at their previous three games, the team has a 1-1 ATS record, along with an average scoring differential of +9.

Middle Tennessee’s games have, on average, featured 130 points per game leading to an over/under record of 0-3-0. Their average over/under line is currently 138.3 points so far. The Blue Raiders have seen their last five games conclude with a collective average of 71 points per game and an over/under record of 1-3.

UAB Offense Breakdown

In their latest game, UAB’s offense looked good, scoring 80 points against Alcorn State. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 47.4% and made 19/28 free throws. One area that the UAB offense has been good this season is getting to the line. Currently, they are 68th in free-throw attempts per contest. Overall, they have a field goal percentage of 41%.

Eric Gaines (G) 17.2 4.0 2.5
Alejandro Vasquez (G) 13.0 4.0 0.8
Efrem Johnson (G) 10.8 2.2 1.5

Middle Tennessee Offense Breakdown

The Middle Tennessee offense is coming off a game in which they scored 64 points vs. Western Carolina. Overall their field goal percentage was 41.4% while connecting on 3 threes. Elias King is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 15.2 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Jestin Porter brings a PPG average of 11.5 into the game.

Elias King (G) 15.2 4.0 0.8
Jestin Porter (G) 11.5 4.2 1.5
Jacob Johnson (G) 10.8 4.5 0.2

UAB Team Defense

UAB’s defense is currently in line with the NCAA average for points allowed, allowing an average of 72.5 points per game. The UAB defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 77 points and allowed Alcorn State to connect on 7 threes.

Middle Tennessee Team Defense

Middle Tennessee’s defense has been playing well, ranking 32nd nationally, with 61.8 points allowed per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Middle Tennessee’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 45.2% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 29.3% this season.

Blazers vs Blue Raiders Trends

  • Through their last five road contests, the Blazers offense has averaged 69 points per game while allowing an average of 73. UAB posted an overall record of 2-3 while going 2-3 ATS.
  • Through their last three home games, Middle Tennessee has an ATS record of just 1-2. However, their overall record was 0-3 while averaging 60 points per game.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Blazers have a straight up record of 4-6. But, their mark vs the spread was just 5-4-1.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Blue Raiders have a straight up record of 7-3. But, their mark vs the spread was just 7-3.

Blazers vs Blue Raiders Prediction

For today’s matchup we are recommending to take the Blue Raiders to secure the win, with an expected final score of 75-68. When it comes to the spread, we believe they’ll cover at -1.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 141 and given that our model is projecting 143 points between the teams, we like the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.