UC santa barbara vs fresno state ncaaf prediction

NCAAB UC Santa Barbara vs Fresno State Prediction 11/27/2023

The UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (1-2) travel to face off against the Fresno State Bulldogs (1-2) on Monday, November 27th. This game will be played at Save Mart Center in Fresno and televised on MW N. UC Santa Barbara is coming off a win in their previous game, while Fresno State is looking to get back on track from a loss to the James Madison. Tip-off is set for 9:00 ET.

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs Fresno State Bulldogs

The UC Santa Barbara Gauchos Are Coming Off A Win

The UC Santa Barbara Gauchos will be taking on Fresno State with a 1-2 record. In their first three games, the Gauchos went 0-1 on the road and 1-1 at home. UC Santa Barbara’s ATS performance heading into today’s game stands at 0-2. Looking back over their previous ten games, including last season, UC Santa Barbara has gone 4-4-1 against the spread.

UC Santa Barbara’s games have, on average, featured 163.7 points per game leading to an over/under record of 3-0-0. Their average over/under line is currently 145.7 points so far. The Gauchos’ last five games have finished with a combined 79 points per game and an over/under record of 3-1.

The Fresno State Bulldogs Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Fresno State heads into their 4th game of the season with a 1-2 record. In their previous five home games, which includes last year, Fresno State has a 1-4 record. In terms of Fresno State’s performance against the spread up to this point, they currently sit at 1-2. Taking into account their last ten games, which includes the previous season, Fresno State holds a 4-5 ATS record.

Through three games, Fresno State has an over/under record of 3-0-0 with their games averaging a combined 154 points per game so far. When analyzing the Bulldogs’ last five games, they have produced a combined average of 83 points per game and an over/under record of 4-0.

UC Santa Barbara Offense Breakdown

Coming off a good offensive performance, UC Santa Barbara’s offense scored 96 points against Le Moyne. Their field goal percentage for the game was 61.7%, and they went 11/12 from the free-throw line. Cole Anderson led the scoring for the Gauchos, contributing 20 points. Additionally, Josh Pierre-Louis chipped in with 19 points.

Yohan Traore (F) 17.5 4.0 0.5
Josh Pierre-Louis (G) 15.0 5.0 5.2
Cole Anderson (G) 14.0 2.2 2.2

Fresno State Offense Breakdown

Against James Madison, the Fresno State had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 75.6 points per game. They scored 64 points and posted a field goal percentage of 41.3% in the game. The team’s scoring leader is Isaiah Hill, who holds an average of 14.2 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Donavan Yap is averaging 12.2 points per game this season.

Isaiah Hill (G) 14.2 3.0 6.0
Donavan Yap (G) 12.2 1.4 2.2
Xavier Dusell (G) 11.8 3.4 1.4

UC Santa Barbara Team Defense

Facing Fresno State, UC Santa Barbara aims for a better defensive performance, given their current average of 80.5 points allowed per game (208th). In terms of field goal percentage allowed, UC Santa Barbara’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 49.2% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 33.9% this season.

Fresno State Team Defense

At this time, the Bulldogs’ defense is positioned 178th in the country, permitting 76.8 points per game. In their previous game vs. James Madison, the Dukes finished with a field goal percentage of 41% and a total of 95 points vs. Fresno State.

Gauchos vs Bulldogs Trends

  • When looking at their past five road matchups, UC Santa Barbara has an ATS record of 2-3 while averaging 74 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
  • Through their last ten home contests, the Bulldogs offense has averaged 67 points per game while allowing an average of 76. Fresno State posted an overall record of 2-8 while going 4-6 ATS.
  • In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Gauchos have a strong straight up record of 3-2. In addition, their ATS record was 3-2 in these scenarios.
  • As the betting favorite, the Bulldogs have an ATS record of 2-1 in their last three games. In these matchups, their straight up record was 3-0.

Gauchos vs Bulldogs Prediction

We’re putting our money on the Bulldogs to win, and have the projected score sitting at 74-69. We also like them to cover the spread, so our recommendation is to bet on the Bulldogs at -2.5.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 144.5 and our model has the Gauchos and Bulldogs finishing with a combined 143 points. Our pick is to take the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.