Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs South Dakota Coyotes prediction

NCAABB: Purdue FW vs South Dakota Prediction 11/18/2023

The Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons (3-0) travel to face off against the South Dakota Coyotes (2-1) on Saturday, November 18th. This game will be played at Desert Diamond Arena in Glendale and televised on None. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 4:30 ET.

Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs South Dakota Coyotes

The Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons Are Coming Off A Win

The Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons are undefeated with a 3-0 record and will face South Dakota. In their last ten road games, which includes those from last year, Purdue Fort Wayne has a record of 5-5. When it comes to Purdue Fort Wayne’s ATS performance, they enter today’s game with a perfect 3-0 record. Over their last ten games, including those from last season, Purdue Fort Wayne has gone 6-3 against the spread.

Purdue Fort Wayne comes in with an over/under record of 2-1-0 through three games, with their games averaging a combined 150 points per game so far. Over the course of the last five games, the Mastodons’ games have averaged 88 points per game, along with an over/under record of 2-2.

The South Dakota Coyotes Are Coming Off A Win

South Dakota is getting ready for their 4th game of the season, holding a 2-1 record. Over their previous ten games at home, South Dakota has a 3-7 record, including last year. As of today’s game, South Dakota has a 1-2 ATS record. Taking into account the previous season, South Dakota is 6-3 ATS in their last ten games.

South Dakota’s games have, on average, featured 159 points per game leading to an over/under record of 2-1-0. Their average over/under line is currently 151.8 points so far. When analyzing the Coyotes’ last five games, they have produced a combined average of 76 points per game and an over/under record of 1-3.

Purdue Fort Wayne Offense Breakdown

In their recent matchup, the Purdue Fort Wayne offense ended with 77 points against Northern Arizona. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 46.6% and made 7 threes. Currently leading the team in scoring is Rasheed Bello who comes into today’s matchup averaging 18.5. Anthony Roberts also heads into the game with a PPG average of 15.

Rasheed Bello (G) 18.5 4.2 3.8
Anthony Roberts (G) 15.0 6.8 0.5
Quinton Morton-Robertson (G) 15.0 2.8 4.0

South Dakota Offense Breakdown

In their recent game, the Coyotes’ offense concluded with 85 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 82.5 points per contest. Kaleb Stewart led the team in scoring, putting up 16 points. Additionally, Lahat Thioune contributed 13 points for the Coyotes.

Lahat Thioune (F) 18.2 9.0 0.5
Kaleb Stewart (G) 14.0 1.8 0.8
Bostyn Holt (G) 9.8 6.5 2.5

Purdue Fort Wayne Team Defense

In the current season, the Purdue Fort Wayne defense has excelled, sitting 25th in the nation by allowing 59.8 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Purdue Fort Wayne’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 34.5% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 20.2% this season.

South Dakota Team Defense

Coming into today’s game, the South Dakota defense is giving up an average of 71.2 points per contest. Against VMI in their most recent game, the South Dakota defense gave up a total of 81 points while allowing VMI to hit 47% of their shots.

Mastodons vs Coyotes Trends

  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Purdue Fort Wayne has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 74 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
  • Across their three previous home games, South Dakota has an ATS mark of 1-2. Their straight up record in these matchups was 2-1 while averaging 81 points per game.
  • The last ten games that South Dakota was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 6-4 while going 2-8 straight up.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, Purdue Fort Wayne has an ATS mark of 3-7 while going 6-4 straight up.

Mastodons vs Coyotes Prediction

The Coyotes come in as the underdog at +3, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 156.5 and our model has the Mastodons and Coyotes finishing with a combined 144 points. Our pick is to take the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.