San Diego vs Saint Mary's ncaabb betting

NCAABB: San Diego State vs St. Mary’s Prediction 11/17/2023

The San Diego State Aztecs (2-1) travel to face off against the Saint Mary’s Gaels (1-1) on Friday, November 17th. This game will be played at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas and televised on ESPN+. San Diego State is coming off a win in their previous game, while Saint Mary’s is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Weber State. Tip-off is set for 9:30 ET.

San Diego State Aztecs vs Saint Mary’s Gaels

The San Diego State Aztecs Are Coming Off A Win

As they prepare for their fourth game of the season, San Diego State holds a 2-1 overall record. Looking back at their previous five road games, including those from last year, San Diego State has gone 2-3. San Diego State has a current ATS record of 1-2 going into today’s game. Over their last ten games, which includes the previous season, San Diego State has gone 6-4 vs. the spread.

After three games, San Diego State has an over/under record of 2-1-0, with their games averaging a combined 147.7 points per game so far. The Aztecs’ last five games have finished with a combined 73 points per game and an over/under record of 4-1.

The Saint Mary’s Gaels Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Today marks the third game of the season for Saint Mary’s, who currently have a record of 1-1. In their previous ten home games, including those from last year, Saint Mary’s has a 7-3 record. As of now, Saint Mary’s holds a 1-1 ATS record going into their game against San Diego State. Taking into account the previous three games, including last season, Saint Mary’s has a 1-1 ATS record and an average scoring margin of +15.

Up to this point, games involving Saint Mary’s have had an average of 124 points per game, with the average over/under line set at 135.2 points. Their over/under record is 0-2-0. Over the course of the last five games, the Gaels’ games have averaged 70 points per game, along with an over/under record of 0-4.

San Diego State Offense Breakdown

The San Diego State offense is coming off a game in which they scored 88 points vs. Long Beach State. Overall their field goal percentage was 48.3% while connecting on 9 threes. One area that the San Diego State offense has been good this season is getting to the line. Currently, they are 89th in free-throw attempts per contest. Overall, they have a field goal percentage of 46%.

Jaedon LeDee (F) 25.0 9.3 1.3
Reese Waters (G) 15.0 3.0 2.0
Micah Parrish (G) 11.7 5.7 2.0

Saint Mary’s Offense Breakdown

In contrast to their season average of 78.7 points per game, the Saint Mary’s had a below average performance. They scored 57 points against Weber State and had a field goal percentage of 40%. Leading the team in scoring was Aidan Mahaney with 11 points. Harry Wessels also added 11 points for the Gaels.

Aidan Mahaney (G) 17.0 1.7 3.3
Harry Wessels (C) 11.3 6.3 0.7
Mason Forbes (F) 9.3 4.0 0.3

San Diego State Team Defense

At this time, the Aztecs’ defense is positioned 64th in the country, permitting 69.0 points per game. In today’s game vs. Saint Mary’s, the San Diego State defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, San Diego State made 23 free-throws vs. the Aztecs.

Saint Mary’s Team Defense

Currently, the Gaels’ defense holds the 3rd rank in the nation, allowing 49.0 points per game. In today’s game, the Saint Mary’s defense will be looking to once again do a good job defending the three-point line, as they gave up just 5 three-pointers while giving up 61 points.

Aztecs vs Gaels Trends

  • When looking at their past five road matchups, San Diego State has an ATS record of 1-4 while averaging 65 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Gaels have a straight up record of 7-3 while going 4-6 vs. the spread. The team averaged 68 points per game in this stretch.
  • In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Aztecs have a straight up record of 1-2 and an ATS mark of 1-2.
  • Through their last three games as the favorite, the Gaels have an ATS record of 2-1 and a straight up mark of 2-1.

Aztecs vs Gaels Prediction

The Gaels is our pick to not only win with a projected score of 74-70. But we also favor them to cover the spread. Our bet is on the Gaels at -1.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 131, and our model projects the Aztecs and Gaels to reach a combined total of 144 points. Our bet is on taking the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.