USC Upstate Spartans vs Minnesota Golden Gophers prediction

NCAABB: USC Upstate vs. Minnesota Prediction 11/18/2023

The USC Upstate Spartans (1-2) travel to face off against the Minnesota Golden Gophers (2-1) on Saturday, November 18th. This game will be played at Williams Arena in Minneapolis and televised on PEAC. USC Upstate is coming off a win in their previous game, while Minnesota is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Missouri. Tip-off is set for 2:00 ET.

USC Upstate Spartans vs Minnesota Golden Gophers

The USC Upstate Spartans Are Coming Off A Win

USC Upstate, who is currently 1-2, will face Minnesota in their 4th game. In their previous three games as the underdog, USC Upstate has a record of 1-2. As of today’s game, USC Upstate has a 1-2 record against the spread (ATS). Looking back to last season, USC Upstate has been solid with a 6-2-1 ATS record in their previous ten games.

In three games, USC Upstate comes in with an over/under mark of 1-2-0, with their games averaging 146.7 points per game. When analyzing the Spartans’ last five games, they have produced a combined average of 74 points per game and an over/under record of 1-3.

The Minnesota Golden Gophers Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Minnesota will face USC Upstate in their fourth game of the season. They currently have a 2-1 record. In their last three games as the favorite, Minnesota has gone 3-0. Against the spread, Minnesota has a 2-1 record thus far in the current year. When factoring in the previous season, Minnesota’s ATS mark stands at 6-3-1 over their last ten games.

In three games, Minnesota comes in with an over/under mark of 1-2-0, with their games averaging 152 points per game. Over the course of the last five games, the Golden Gophers’ games have averaged 78 points per game, along with an over/under record of 3-2.

USC Upstate Offense Breakdown

In their latest game, USC Upstate’s offense looked good, scoring 83 points against East Carolina. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 47.5% and made 16/19 free throws. In terms of offense, the Spartans have a season-long field goal percentage of 47%, putting them 152nd in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 45th in percentage and 88th in three-pointers made.

Trae Broadnax (G) 14.0 4.8 4.0
Justin Bailey (G) 13.8 1.2 0.5
Miguel Ayesa (G) 11.0 1.2 0.5

Minnesota Offense Breakdown

Compared to their season average of 83.3 points per game, Minnesota struggled in their previous game. Against Missouri, the Golden Gophers scored 68 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 41.4%. Dawson Garcia is leading the team in scoring at 20.3 points per contest. Isaiah Ihnen has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 12.7 going into the game.

Dawson Garcia (F) 20.3 9.7 4.0
Isaiah Ihnen (F) 12.7 5.0 0.7
Joshua Ola-Joseph (F) 9.3 2.3 1.0

USC Upstate Team Defense

At present, the Spartans’ defense is nationally ranked 90th, allowing 71.2 points per game. USC Upstate’s three-point defense is currently 37th in the country at 6.5 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 36.5% of their shots vs. USC Upstate.

Minnesota Team Defense

Currently, the Golden Gophers’ defense holds the 72nd rank in the nation, allowing 68.7 points per game. In their previous game vs. Missouri, the Tigers finished with a field goal percentage of 41% and a total of 70 points vs. Minnesota.

Spartans vs Golden Gophers Trends

  • In their last five road games, USC Upstate has averaged 65 points per game while allowing 74. The team’s record in this stretch was 1-4 while going 4-1.
  • In their last five games at home, the Golden Gophers have a straight up record of 1-4 while going 2-3 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 67 points per game in these contests.
  • Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the Spartans have gone 4-1 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-4.
  • Across their last five matchups as the betting favorite, the Golden Gophers have an overall record of 5-0 while going 2-3 against the spread.

Spartans vs Golden Gophers Prediction

For a point-spread bet in this Golden Gophers vs. Golden Gophers matchup, we’re leaning towards the Golden Gophers at -11.5. Although our projections show the Golden Gophers winning 73-69, we suggest placing your bet on the Spartans for the point-spread.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 144.5, and our model projects the Spartans and Golden Gophers to reach a combined total of 142 points. Our bet is on taking the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.