The Air Force Falcons (1-1) face off against the Baylor Bears (1-1) on Saturday, September 14th. This game will be played at McLane Stadium in Waco and televised on FS1. Both Air Force and Baylor will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 ET.

Air Force Falcons vs Baylor Bears

 

Air Force Offense Breakdown

In their 17-7 loss to San Jose State, Air Force’s offense was limited to 204 total yards, with 150 of those yards coming on the ground. The Falcons managed just 54 yards through the air, with John Busha completing 7 of 20 passes and throwing two interceptions. Busha’s passer rating for the game was 4.17.

Air Force’s offense picked up 11 first downs in the game, and Cade Harris led the team in rushing with 50 yards on eight carries, including one rushing touchdown. Quin Smith was the top receiver for the Falcons, with three receptions for 36 yards.

Baylor Offense Breakdown

In their 23-12 loss to Utah, Baylor’s offense was limited to 223 total yards, with just 108 yards on the ground. The Bears managed to pick up 12 first downs but struggled to move the ball consistently. Dequan Finn completed 9 of 21 passes for 115 yards and one touchdown, ending with a passer rating of 76.49.

Dawson Pendergrass was the most effective runner for Baylor, averaging 7.7 yards per carry on 9 attempts. Josh Cameron led the receiving effort with 59 yards on two receptions.

Air Force Team Defense

In their 17-7 loss to San Jose State, Air Force’s defense allowed just 55 rushing yards on 31 attempts. However, they struggled against the pass, giving up 262 yards and two touchdowns through the air. The Falcons’ defense managed to force one interception and held San Jose State to 15 total first downs and 317 yards of offense.

Air Force Team Defense

In their most recent game, Baylor’s defense allowed 298 total yards, with the majority of the damage coming on the ground. The Bears gave up 176 rushing yards and two passing touchdowns, while Utah’s passing game was limited to 122 yards on 12 completions. Baylor will need to shore up their run defense after this performance.

Air Force vs Baylor Trends

• Through their last five road contests, the Air Force Falcons offense has averaged 24 points per game while allowing an average of 18. Air Force posted an overall record of 3-2 while going 2-2-1 ATS.
• Through their last three home games, Baylor has an ATS record of just 1-2. However, their overall record was 0-3 while averaging 18 points per game.
• The Air Force Falcons have played well in their last five games as the betting underdog, going 3-2 straight up and 3-2 against the spread.
• Going back to their last five games as the favorite, the Baylor Bears have a straight up record of 2-3. But, their mark vs the spread was just 1-4.

Falcons vs Bears Prediction

We have Baylor winning this matchup 25-23 over Air Force, but with Air Force coming in as +15.5 point underdogs, we like their chances to cover the spread. The over/under line is at 41.5 points, and with our projected score, we see good value in taking the over.

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All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

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* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.