Alabama Crimson Tide vs LSU Tigers NCAAF Betting Prediction
PublishedNovember 5, 2024,            Posted By: Maria Uebelhor
Last updated:November 5, 2024 ,

NCAAF Alabama Crimson Tide vs LSU Prediction 11/9/2024

The Alabama Crimson Tide (6-2) face off against the LSU Tigers (6-2) on Saturday, November 9th. This game will be played at Tiger Stadium (LA) in Baton Rouge and televised on ABC. Alabama is coming off a win in their previous game, while LSU is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Texas A&M. Kickoff is set for 7:30 ET.

Alabama Crimson Tide vs LSU Tigers

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Alabama Offense Breakdown

Alabama’s offense is averaging 37.6 points per game heading into week 11, ranking 15th in the nation. They are 11th in our offensive power rankings. Jalen Milroe has thrown for 1,942 yards and has a passer rating of 107. Overall, Alabama ranks 24th in passer rating and 17th in completion percentage, completing 67.4% of their passes.

Milroe has thrown 13 touchdowns and six interceptions this season. Leading the rushing attack is Jam Miller, with 450 yards and seven touchdowns, averaging six yards per carry. Ryan Williams leads the receivers with 702 yards and seven touchdowns on 35 catches.

LSU Offense Breakdown

LSU’s offense is ranked 9th in our CFB offensive power rankings heading into week 11, and they are 30th in scoring, with 32.8 points per game. Their passing game is their strength, ranking 7th in passing yards per game with 333.2. They are 10th in passing completions, averaging 26.8 per game, and 12th in passing attempts.

Garrett Nussmeier has thrown for 2,631 yards, with 20 touchdowns and 9 interceptions. His passer rating is 95, and LSU ranks 47th in passer rating nationally. On third downs, they convert 49.1% of their attempts, ranking 10th. Their run game is less effective, with 116.6 rushing yards per game, placing them 114th in the country.

Alabama Team Defense

Alabama’s defense is coming off a dominant performance, shutting out Missouri in a 34-0 win. They allowed just 239 total yards, including 72 passing yards, and forced three interceptions. Missouri ran the ball 39 times for 167 yards but couldn’t find the end zone.

On the season, Alabama ranks 15th nationally, allowing 18.6 points per game. Opponents are averaging 146.4 rushing yards and 193.2 passing yards per game, with a 58.4% completion rate and a passer rating of 72, which ranks 25th in the country.

Alabama Team Defense

LSU’s defense has allowed an average of 22.8 points per game this season, ranking 29th nationally. In their recent game against Texas A&M, they gave up 38 points, allowing 351 total yards, including 145 rushing yards on 41 attempts and 206 passing yards. The defense also forced one interception during the game.

Opponents have averaged 135.8 rushing yards per game against LSU, while quarterbacks have posted a 61.9% completion rate and a passer rating of 87.7. LSU’s secondary has allowed 229.6 passing yards per game, ranking 105th in the country.

Alabama vs LSU Trends

  • Across the Alabama Crimson Tide last ten road games, the team averaged 31 points per game while allowing 20. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 5-5, while going 7-3 straight-up.
  • In their last three home games, the LSU Tigers have a straight up record of 2-1 while going 1-2 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 31 points per game in these contests.
  • Going back to their last five games as the underdog, the LSU Tigers have a straight up record of 2-3. But, their mark vs the spread was just 2-3.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, Alabama has an ATS mark of 5-5 while going 8-2 straight up.

Crimson Tide vs Tigers Prediction

Alabama is the -3 point spread favorite in this week 11 matchup against LSU. We have a projected final score of 31-30 in favor of the Crimson Tide, but we like LSU to cover the spread as the slight underdog.

With the over/under line set at 58.5 points, our projection of 61 total points makes the over the best play for this game.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.