Alabama Crimson Tide vs Vanderbilt Commodores NCAAF Betting Prediction

NCAAF Alabama Crimson vs Vanderbilt Prediction 10/5/2024

The Alabama Crimson Tide (4-0) face off against the Vanderbilt Commodores (2-2) on Saturday, October 5th. This game will be played at FirstBank Stadium in Nashville and televised on SECN. Alabama is coming off a win in their previous game, while Vanderbilt is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Missouri. Kickoff is set for 4:15 ET.

Alabama Crimson Tide vs Vanderbilt Commodores

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Alabama Offense Breakdown

Alabama’s offense is averaging 47 points per game, ranking 7th in the nation, and they sit 13th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 6. Jalen Milroe has thrown for 969 yards, completing 73.3% of his passes, and has a passer rating of 143. The team ranks 2nd nationally in passer rating and 5th in completion percentage.

Milroe has thrown 10 touchdowns with just one interception. Jam Miller leads the rushing attack with 273 yards, averaging 8 yards per carry. Ryan Williams has 462 receiving yards and five touchdowns on 16 catches.

Vanderbilt Offense Breakdown

Vanderbilt’s offense is averaging 37 points per game, placing them 23rd in the nation, and they are ranked 25th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 6. Quarterback Diego Pavia has a passer rating of 113, with 721 yards and six touchdowns, and he has yet to throw an interception.

Vanderbilt ranks 78th in passing attempts, averaging 184.5 yards per game. Sedrick Alexander leads the rushing attack with 217 yards and three touchdowns. Quincy Skinner Jr. has 132 receiving yards and one touchdown.

Alabama Team Defense

Alabama’s defense will look to bounce back after allowing 34 points in their recent game against Georgia, despite securing a 41-34 victory. They gave up 519 total yards, including 439 passing yards, but also forced three interceptions. Georgia managed just 80 rushing yards on 26 attempts.

Even after the Georgia game, Alabama’s defense ranks 11th nationally, allowing just 15 points per game. Opponents have averaged 121 rushing yards per game and 196.5 passing yards, with quarterbacks completing 52.9% of their throws and posting a passer rating of 62.5, the 17th-lowest in the country.

Alabama Team Defense

Vanderbilt’s defense is ranked 33rd in the nation, allowing 23.2 points per game. In their recent game against Missouri, they gave up 30 points, including 442 total yards, with 216 rushing yards and 226 passing yards.

Opponents have averaged 122.8 rushing yards per game against Vanderbilt and 212 passing yards. Quarterbacks have completed 60.1% of their passes, posting a passer rating of 78.3 against the Commodores.

Alabama vs Vanderbilt Trends

  • Across the Alabama Crimson Tide last three road games, the team averaged 29 points per game while allowing 20. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 1-2, while going 2-1 straight-up.
  • When looking at their past three home matchups, Vanderbilt has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 27 per game. The team went 0-3 overall in these games.
  • Through their last five games as the betting underdog, the Vanderbilt Commodores have a strong record vs the spread going 3-2. Their straight up mark in these contests is 1-4.
  • Alabama has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 3-0 SU and 3-0 ATS in their last three games.

Crimson Tide vs Commodores Prediction

Alabama is favored by -23.5 points on the road in their week six matchup against Vanderbilt. We expect the Crimson Tide to cover the spread, with a projected final score of 40-12 in their favor.

For the over/under, with the line set at 55.5 points, our projection of 52 total points suggests that taking the under is the best play.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.