Arizona vs Arizona State ncaaf prediction

NCAAF Arizona vs Arizona State Devils Prediction 11/25/2023

The Arizona Wildcats (8-3) travel to face off against the Arizona State Sun Devils (3-8) on Saturday, November 25th. This game will be played at Mountain America Stadium in Tempe and televised on ESPN. Arizona is coming off a win in their previous game, while Arizona State is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Oregon. Kickoff is set for 3:30 ET.

Arizona Wildcats vs Arizona State Sun Devils

The Arizona Wildcats Are Coming Off A Win

Arizona is coming off a 42-18 win over Utah. The Wildcats set the tone early in the game, leading by a score of 21-0 after the first quarter. Quarterback Noah Fifita threw for two touchdowns in Arizona’s win over Utah. Overall, he had a passer rating of 120.56 while completing 73.3% of his passes for 253 yards.

Going into the game, Arizona was favored by 2.5 and went on to cover the spread. The team’s combined 60 points surpassed the over/under line of 46.5.

With a 8-3 record, the Arizona Wildcats take on Arizona State. Their road record so far is (3-0) and at home (4-1).

So far, Arizona has been favored four times and the underdog in four games. This has led to an ATS record of 6-2 and an average scoring differential of +11.5. This season, Arizona has posted an over/under record of 2-6 through 11 games. On average their games have combined for 52.7 points.

The Arizona State Sun Devils Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Against Oregon, the Sun Devils trailed by -18 going into the 4th quarter and ended up losing by a score of 49-13. Against Oregon, Trenton Bourguet threw for 142 yards against Oregon, but did throw a touchdown pass. Overall his passer rating was 63.12 on a completion percentage of 54.1%.

Arizona State and Oregon combined for 62 points in the game, which was enough to surpass the over/under line of 53.5 points. In addition to losing straight-up, Arizona State did not cover the spread as 24.5-point underdogs.

So far, the Arizona State Sun Devils are 3-8, including going 1-3 on the road and 1-5 at home.

This season, Arizona State has gone into all of their games as the underdog and have an ATS mark of 5-4-1. So far, their average scoring margin is -12.1 points per contest. This season, Arizona State has posted an over/under record of 4-6 through 11 games. On average their games have combined for 46.6 points.

Arizona Offense Breakdown

The Wildcats’ offense is gearing up to take on Arizona State, with an average of 154.9 rushing yards per game and an 5 yards per attempt. In the college football rankings, they are currently in 69th place for rushing yards and 22nd place for passing yards, accumulating an average of 284.3 yards per contest. Arizona’s overall scoring average is at 32.1 points per game, placing them 32nd rank nationally.

With 1988 passing yards and a completion percentage of 73.6%, quarterback Noah Fifita leads the team in passing. His average yards per pass attempt stands at 7.8.

Arizona State Offense Breakdown

Arizona State’s offense is averaging 17.3 points per game, which ranks them 101st in the NCAA. Through the air, they’re at 222 passing yards on average, putting them at 70th in the nation. Their rushing attack is currently 114th in rushing yards, with an average of 325 rushing attempts per game this season.

Trenton Bourguet is the team’s leading passer, with 1486 passing yards under his belt and a completion rate of 60.9%. Currently, he’s averaging 6 yards per pass attempt.

Arizona Team Defense

The Wildcats defense heads into this week’s matchup with 29 sacks and sitting 1st in QB hurries. So far, they’ve allowed 20.6 points per game (78th). In the pass defense department, they’re 137th nationally, giving up 243 passing yards per game. Additionally, when it comes to defending the run, Arizona’s defense is allowing 101.5 rushing yards per contest.

Arizona State Team Defense

The Sun Devils defense will take the field with 26 sacks and are 1st QB hurries. When it comes to points allowed, they’re at 29.4 points per game (124th). Against the pass, the team is 125th in the NCAA, allowing 239.4 passing yards per game. Additionally, Arizona State’s run defense has 138 rushing yards per contest.

Arizona vs Arizona State Trends

  • Arizona are 3-2 Against the spread in their last five games on the road.
  • Looking across Arizona State’s ten most recent home games, they are 6-4 against the spread.
  • Arizona State is 1-2 in their last three games as underdogs.
  • When favored, Arizona has gone 4-6 vs. the spread (last 10).

Arizona vs Arizona State Prediction

Coming in as the 12.5-point favorites on the road, I like Arizona to cover the spread. Arizona’s offense is coming off a good performance vs. Utah and should carry that momentum into this week’s matchup vs. Arizona State.

Not only does our model have a projected total of 52 points in this matchup, but the eye test has me feeling this line of 51 is low. I like Arizona and Arizona State to exceed 51 points.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.