Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Iowa State Cyclones NCAAF Betting Prediction

NCAAF Arkansas State vs Iowa State Prediction 9/21/2024

The Arkansas State Red Wolves (2-1) face off against the Iowa State Cyclones (2-0) on Saturday, September 21st. This game will be played at Jack Trice Stadium in Ames and televised on ESPN+. Iowa State is coming off a win in their previous game, while Arkansas State is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Michigan. Kickoff is set for 2:00 ET.

Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Iowa State Cyclones

Arkansas State Offense Breakdown

In their 28-18 loss to Michigan, Arkansas State’s offense totaled 280 yards, with 222 yards coming through the air. Jaylen Raynor completed 57.6% of his passes for 140 yards, while also throwing one interception and finishing with a passer rating of 55.11. Reginald Harden Jr. was the leading receiver, with three catches for 52 yards.

The Red Wolves’ offense moved the chains 17 times but struggled on the ground, gaining just 58 rushing yards on 25 attempts. Devin Spencer led the team in rushing, with 28 yards on seven carries.

Iowa State Offense Breakdown

In their narrow 20-19 win over Iowa, Iowa State’s offense put up 361 yards, with 272 of those coming through the air. Rocco Becht completed 65.7% of his passes for 272 yards, throwing two touchdowns and one interception, and earning a passer rating of 96.37. Jaylin Noel was his top target, hauling in five receptions for 133 yards and a touchdown.

The Cyclones’ ground game was limited to 89 yards on 28 carries, with Abu Sama III leading the way with 58 yards on 17 attempts.

Arkansas State Team Defense

Arkansas State’s defense will be looking to tighten up after giving up 301 rushing yards and three touchdowns to Michigan in their last game. The Red Wolves allowed 435 total yards and 28 points, but they did manage to come up with three interceptions. Through the air, they held Michigan to just 134 passing yards on 13 completions.

Arkansas State Team Defense

After allowing 284 rushing yards and three touchdowns on the ground, Iowa State’s defense will need to make some adjustments. Overall, they gave up 462 total yards to Iowa, but they managed to come out on top with a 20-19 win. The Cyclones also gave up 178 passing yards and one touchdown through the air.

Arkansas State vs Iowa State Trends

  • Across their ten previous road games, Arkansas State has an ATS mark of 5-5. Their straight up record in these matchups was 2-8 while averaging 19 points per game.
  • When looking at their past three matchups at home, Iowa State has an ATS record of 3-0 while averaging 35 per game. The team went 3-0 overall in these games.
  • Spanning across their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Arkansas State Red Wolves have gone 6-4 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 4-6.
  • Over the team’s last five games as the favorite, the Iowa State Cyclones struggled vs the spread going just 2-3. However, they still had a straight up mark of 3-2.

Red Wolves vs Cyclones Prediction

Arkansas State is the heavy favorite in their week four matchup against Iowa State, with the spread set at -21.5 points. We predict a final score of 26-19 in favor of Iowa State, but we like Arkansas State to cover the spread as the road underdog.

For the over/under, with the line at 51.5 points, our projection of 45 combined points suggests taking the under as the best bet.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.