Arkansas vs Marshall ncaaf prediction

NCAAF Arkansas State vs Marshall Prediction 11/25/2023

The Arkansas State Red Wolves (6-5) travel to face off against the Marshall Thundering Herd (5-6) on Saturday, November 25th. This game will be played at Joan C. Edwards Stadium in Huntington and televised on ESPN+. Arkansas State is coming off a win in their previous game, while Marshall is looking to get back on track from a loss to the South Alabama. Kickoff is set for 3:30 ET.

Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Marshall Thundering Herd

The Arkansas State Red Wolves Are Coming Off A Win

The Red Wolves are coming off a game that featured plenty of scoring, pulling out a 77-31 win over Texas State. In the win against Texas State, Jaylen Raynor threw for 196 yards on 14 of 17 passing. His overall passer rating was 114.71 and he did not throw or rush for a touchdown.

On the betting lines, the over/under was 59.5, resulting in a hit for the over. Arkansas State not only won but covered as they were the betting underdogs at +3.

The Arkansas State Red Wolves take on the Marshall with a 6-5 record, including 2-3 on the road and 3-2 at home.

Against the spread, Arkansas State has gone 6-4 so far this season. This has come on an average scoring differential of -2.5 and being the underdog in all of their games. This season, Arkansas State has posted an over/under record of 5-5 through 11 games. On average their games have combined for 59.2 points.

The Marshall Thundering Herd Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Thundering Herd’s most recent game came against South Alabama, leading to a 28-0 loss. Marshall trailed by -7 at the half vs. the Jaguars. In their last game, quarterback Cole Pennington accumulated 36 passing attempts against South Alabama. He concluded the game with 159 passing yards while achieving a completion rate of 61.1%. Furthermore, he recorded three interceptions in the loss.

The betting lines going into the game were 45.5 on the over/under and Marshall as 10-point underdogs. As they combined for 28 points, this was a hit for the under and Marshall was handed an ATS loss.

So far, the Marshall Thundering Herd are 5-6, including going 1-5 on the road and 3-1 at home.

Marshall’s average scoring differential for the season is -6.6 leading to an ATS mark of 3-7. The Thundering Herd have been favored four times and the underdog in five games Across 11 games, the average over/under line in Marshall’s matchups is 48.7 points. These games have seen an average combined score of 51 points, resulting in an OU record of 5-5.

Arkansas State Offense Breakdown

Arkansas State comes into the game with an offense averaging 28.4, which places them at 52nd in the NCAA rankings. Their passing game has them ranked 73rd nationally, with an average of 219.8 passing yards. In the rushing department, they’re 63rd in the nation, with 398 rushing attempts per game for the season.

Jaylen Raynor has thrown for 2030 yards this season, with an average of 15.5 per completion. His completion percentage is 60.4%, and he’s recorded 14 touchdowns.

Marshall Offense Breakdown

Heading into their matchup vs. Arkansas State, the Thundering Herd’s offense is averaging 122.2 rushing yards per game, along with 3 yards per attempt. They currently hold the 100th rank in rushing yards and 67th rank in passing yards, amassing an average of 224.4 yards per game. In terms of scoring, Marshall is at 22.2 points per game, which is 80th in the NCAA.

This season, Cam Fancher has thrown for a total of 1948 yards while maintaining an average of 10.5 yards per completion. His completion percentage is 64.8%, and he’s recorded eight touchdowns.

Arkansas State Team Defense

Arkansas State’s defense holds the 48th rank in passing yards allowed per game as they head into this game. On average, opponents have made 34.5 passing attempts against the Red Wolves. They have given up 30.8 points per game, which places them at 130th in college football. In the rush defense category, they rank 127th in the NCAA.

Marshall Team Defense

Coming into this week’s game, the Marshall defense is 122nd in points allowed at 28.8 points per game. So far, team’s have averaged 214.4 passing yards per game vs. the unit (74th). On the ground, they are giving up 170.2 rushing yards, putting them 122nd in college football.

Arkansas State vs Marshall Trends

  • Arkansas State’s three most recent games vs. the spread has seen them go 2-1 against the spread.
  • Marshall is 0-5 Against the spread in their last five games at home.
  • Marshall’s ATS record in their five most recent games as an underdog is 0-5.
  • Looking back on the last five times Arkansas State was favored, their ATS record was 3-2.

Arkansas State vs Marshall Prediction

Turnovers in the passing game have been a concern for Marshall this season. In this away underdog scenario, I like Arkansas State to cover the spread at +2.5.

Arkansas State has an average margin vs. the over/under of +5.4 this season. With the over/under set at 53.5, we anticipate this game to exceed expectations, ending with a combined total of 54 points.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.