Army Black Knights vs North Texas Mean Green NCAAF Betting Prediction

NCAAF Army Black vs North Texas Mean Prediction 11/9/2024

The Army Black Knights (8-0) face off against the North Texas Mean Green (5-3) on Saturday, November 9th. This game will be played at DATCU Stadium in Denton and televised on ESPN2. Army is coming off a win in their previous game, while North Texas is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Tulane. Kickoff is set for 3:30 ET.

Army Black Knights vs North Texas Mean Green

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Army Offense Breakdown

Army’s offense has been dominant on the ground, leading the nation with 341.9 rushing yards per game on 51.9 attempts. They are also 13th in scoring, averaging 37.9 points per game, and rank 3rd in our offensive power rankings heading into week 11. Kanye Udoh has rushed for 791 yards, averaging 6 yards per carry, and has scored nine touchdowns.

Army’s passing game is limited, with just 93.8 yards per game, but Bryson Daily has a passer rating of 142, and Army ranks 1st in the nation in passer rating. Daily has thrown seven touchdowns without an interception this season. Army is also 3rd in third-down conversion percentage, converting 51.7% of their attempts.

North Texas Offense Breakdown

North Texas has been one of the top passing teams in college football, ranking 4th in passing yards per game with 371.6. They are also 6th in both passing attempts and completions per game. Overall, they are 6th in scoring, averaging 40.8 points per game, and are ranked 43rd in our offensive power rankings heading into week 11.

Quarterback Chandler Morris has thrown for 2,873 yards with a passer rating of 105. He has 26 touchdown passes and 8 interceptions. Leading receiver DT Sheffield has 690 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns this season. The Mean Green are averaging 161.9 rushing yards per game.

Army Team Defense

Army’s defense has been a standout this season, leading the nation by allowing just 11.2 points per game. They rank 5th in the country against the run, giving up only 84.2 rushing yards per game on 26.2 attempts, the 7th fewest in the nation. Through the air, they’ve allowed 188.5 passing yards per game, with opposing quarterbacks posting a passer rating of just 68.6, the 16th lowest in the country.

In their recent game against Air Force, Army’s defense allowed just 3 points, giving up 209 total yards. Air Force ran the ball 40 times but managed only 117 rushing yards. Army’s secondary allowed 92 passing yards and came away with three interceptions.

Army Team Defense

North Texas’s defense has struggled this season, allowing 36.9 points per game. In their latest game, a 45-37 loss to Tulane, they gave up 45 points, including 218 rushing yards and three rushing touchdowns, though they held Tulane to 214 passing yards.

Opponents have averaged 179.9 rushing yards per game against North Texas, while quarterbacks have posted a 98.9 passer rating, completing 60.9% of their throws for an average of 271.6 passing yards per game.

Army vs North Texas Trends

  • In their last three road games, Army has averaged 38 points per game while allowing 9. The team’s record in this stretch was 3-0 while going 3-0 vs. the spread.
  • When looking at their past ten home matchups, North Texas has an ATS record of 6-4 while averaging 34 per game. The team went 4-6 overall in these games.
  • Going back to their previous three games as the underdog, North Texas has an ATS mark of 1-2 while going 0-3 straight up.
  • In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Army Black Knights have a straight up record of 9-1 and an ATS mark of 6-4.

Black Knights vs Mean Green Prediction

Our projections for this week 11 matchup between Army and North Texas have Army coming out on top by a score of 35-26. With Army being -5.5 point favorites, we like their chances to cover the spread.

For the over/under, with the line set at 63.5 points, we recommend taking the under, as our model projects a combined 61 points.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.