Auburn Tigers vs Missouri Tigers NCAAF Betting Prediction

NCAAF Auburn Tigers vs Missouri Prediction 10/19/2024

The Auburn Tigers (2-4) face off against the Missouri Tigers (5-1) on Saturday, October 19th. This game will be played at Faurot Field at Memorial Stadium in Columbia and televised on ESPN. Missouri is coming off a win in their previous game, while Auburn is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Georgia. Kickoff is set for 12:00 ET.

Auburn Tigers vs Missouri Tigers

Auburn Offense Breakdown

Auburn’s offense is averaging 30 points per game heading into week 8, placing them 42nd in the nation. They are ranked 68th in our offensive power rankings. Their passing game has been the strength of the offense, averaging 279 yards per game, which ranks 28th nationally. Payton Thorne has thrown for 1,238 yards with 10 touchdowns and 6 interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 98.

KeAndre Lambert-Smith leads the receiving corps with 510 yards and 6 touchdowns on 24 catches. Auburn is averaging 165.8 rushing yards per game. Jarquez Hunter has rushed for 528 yards, averaging 6 yards per carry, and has scored three touchdowns.

Missouri Offense Breakdown

Missouri’s offense is averaging 33.5 points per game heading into week 8, placing them 28th nationally. They are ranked 40th in our offensive power rankings. Their third-down conversion rate is impressive at 50.6%, ranking 11th, and they are 22nd in passing completions, averaging 23 per game. They also attempt 34.3 passes per game and average 246.5 passing yards.

Brady Cook leads the team with 1,351 passing yards and a passer rating of 96. He has thrown seven touchdowns and just one interception, completing 64.7% of his passes. Nate Noel leads the rushing attack with 471 yards, averaging 6 yards per carry. Theo Wease Jr. has 407 receiving yards on 31 catches.

Auburn Team Defense

Heading into this week, Auburn’s defense ranks 32nd nationally, allowing 20.8 points per game. They’ve given up an average of 213.3 passing yards per game (78th) and 126.3 rushing yards per game (55th). Opposing quarterbacks have completed 59.2% of their passes and have a passer rating of 83.4 against Auburn’s defense.

In their last game, a 31-13 loss to Georgia, Auburn allowed 31 points and 609 total yards, including 459 passing yards and three touchdowns. They did manage to force two interceptions in the game.

Auburn Team Defense

Missouri’s defense has been impressive this season, ranking 10th nationally by allowing just 15.3 points per game. In their recent game against UMass, they gave up only 3 points, limiting the Minutemen to 237 total yards and forcing one interception.

Opposing quarterbacks have struggled against Missouri, posting a passer rating of just 71.5, while averaging 154.5 passing yards per game, the 12th-lowest in the country. Missouri has also held opponents to 116.7 rushing yards per game on 32.3 attempts.

Auburn vs Missouri Trends

  • Across their ten previous road games, Auburn has an ATS mark of 5-4-1. Their straight up record in these matchups was 3-7 while averaging 24 points per game.
  • Across their last three home contests, Missouri has been good against the spread posting a mark of 2-1. Their overall mark in these games was 2-1, while averaging 23 points per game.
  • Going back to their previous five games as the underdog, Auburn has an ATS mark of 3-2 while going 1-4 straight up.
  • Although the Missouri Tigers have a strong straight up record in their last three games as the betting favorite, they have not done as well vs the spread going 1-2.

Tigers vs Tigers Prediction

Our pick for this Auburn vs. Missouri matchup is to take Auburn as the +4.5 point underdogs, as we project them to win 34-25. With the spread sitting at +4.5 points for Auburn, we see them as a good bet to cover and win straight-up.

For the over/under, our projection of 59 points suggests that taking the over (51.5) is the best play.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.