Baylor Bears vs Colorado Buffaloes NCAAF Betting Prediction

NCAAF Baylor Bears vs Colorado Prediction 9/21/2024

The Baylor Bears (2-1) face off against the Colorado Buffaloes (2-1) on Saturday, September 21st. This game will be played at Folsom Field in Boulder and televised on FOX. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Kickoff is set for 8:00 ET.

Baylor Bears vs Colorado Buffaloes

 

Baylor Offense Breakdown

Quarterback Sawyer Robertson led Baylor’s offense to a 478-yard performance in their 31-3 win over Air Force. Robertson completed 75% of his passes for 248 yards, with Ashtyn Hawkins being his primary target, hauling in four catches for 81 yards.

The Bears’ ground game was dominant, racking up 230 yards on 38 carries and scoring three touchdowns. Bryson Washington was the leading rusher, gaining 106 yards on 12 attempts and adding one of the team’s three rushing touchdowns.

Colorado Offense Breakdown

Colorado’s offense was effective in their 28-9 win, racking up 419 total yards and 23 first downs. The Buffaloes leaned heavily on their passing game, with Shedeur Sanders throwing for 310 yards and four touchdowns. Sanders completed 73.5% of his passes and ended the game with a passer rating of 116.88. Travis Hunter was his primary target, hauling in 13 receptions for 100 yards.

The ground game was less productive, with just 109 rushing yards on 19 attempts. Micah Welch led the team in rushing with 65 yards on nine carries.

Baylor Team Defense

In their most recent game, Baylor’s defense was dominant, holding Air Force to just 25 passing yards on 2 completions. The Bears’ secondary also came up with an interception, limiting the Falcons to 218 total yards. Despite giving up 193 rushing yards, Baylor kept Air Force out of the end zone, allowing just 3 points.

Baylor Team Defense

Colorado’s defense came up with two interceptions in their most recent game, helping to limit Colorado State to 209 passing yards. The Buffaloes allowed a total of 340 yards, with 131 of those coming on the ground. Despite giving up 17 first downs, Colorado’s defense kept Colorado State out of the end zone, resulting in a 28-9 victory.

Baylor vs Colorado Trends

  • In their last five road games, Baylor has averaged 24 points per game while allowing 37. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-3 while going 3-2.
  • When looking at their past three home matchups, Colorado has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 18 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Baylor Bears have a straight up record of 2-8. Their record vs the spread in these games was 5-5.
  • In their last three contests as the favorite, Colorado has a poor record vs the spread going 1-2. But, they still put together a straight up mark of 2-1.

Bears vs Buffaloes Prediction

Our projections have this game finishing with a combined 53 points, which is right in line with the current over/under line of 53.5 points. With this in mind, we don’t see any significant value on either side of the over/under bet.

However, we do like Baylor to cover the +1.5 point spread as road underdogs, even though Colorado is the -1.5 point favorite. The projected final score is 27-26 in favor of Colorado, but for betting purposes, we like Baylor to cover.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.