Baylor Bears vs Iowa State Cyclones NCAAF Betting Prediction

NCAAF Baylor Bears vs Iowa State Prediction 10/5/2024

The Baylor Bears (2-3) face off against the Iowa State Cyclones (4-0) on Saturday, October 5th. This game will be played at Jack Trice Stadium in Ames and televised on FOX. Iowa State is coming off a win in their previous game, while Baylor is looking to get back on track from a loss to the BYU. Kickoff is set for 7:30 ET.

Baylor Bears vs Iowa State Cyclones

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Baylor Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 6, Baylor’s offense ranks 86th in our power rankings, averaging 29.4 points per game, which places them 52nd nationally. They are 16th in rushing attempts, averaging 38 per game, but have only managed 146.2 rushing yards per game.

Sawyer Robertson leads the passing game with 787 yards and a passer rating of 97. Baylor is 42nd in passing attempts and completions, averaging 222.6 yards per game. Robertson has thrown six touchdowns and two interceptions. Josh Cameron leads the receivers with 267 yards and three touchdowns.

Iowa State Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 6, Iowa State’s offense is averaging 28.2 points per game, placing them 57th in the nation. However, they are ranked 28th in our offensive power rankings. Quarterback Rocco Becht has thrown for 896 yards with a passer rating of 106, completing 66.4% of his passes. He has seven touchdowns and two interceptions.

Overall, Iowa State ranks 23rd in completion percentage, connecting on 66.7% of their passes. They are 64th in passing attempts, averaging 236.2 yards per game. Jaylin Noel leads the receiving corps with 353 yards and two touchdowns. On the ground, the Cyclones are averaging 163 rushing yards per game.

Baylor Team Defense

Despite a tough 34-28 loss to BYU, Baylor’s defense managed to force two interceptions, though they allowed 369 total yards, including 216 passing yards and two touchdowns. They also gave up 153 rushing yards on 35 attempts.

On the season, Baylor ranks 38th nationally, allowing 20.2 points per game. Opposing quarterbacks have completed just 47.6% of their passes, the seventh-lowest rate in the country, averaging 156.8 passing yards per game. Baylor’s defense has faced an average of 41.2 rushing attempts per game, giving up 144 yards per contest.

Baylor Team Defense

Iowa State’s defense has been impressive this season, ranking third nationally by allowing just 7.2 points per game. In their latest game, a 20-0 win over Houston, they forced two interceptions and gave up only 72 passing yards.

Opponents have averaged 102.5 passing yards per game against Iowa State, the fourth-lowest in the country, with a passer rating of just 34.9, the second-lowest nationally. However, they have allowed 161.8 rushing yards per game, ranking 106th.

Baylor vs Iowa State Trends

  • Through their last five road contests, the Baylor Bears offense has averaged 23 points per game while allowing an average of 38. Baylor posted an overall record of 1-4 while going 2-3 ATS.
  • The Iowa State Cyclones are 5-0 ATS in their last home games and 5-0 straight-up.
  • Going back to their last five games as the underdog, the Baylor Bears have a straight up record of 0-5. But, their mark vs the spread was just 2-3.
  • In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Iowa State Cyclones have a strong straight up record of 4-1. In addition, their ATS record was 3-2 in these scenarios.

Bears vs Cyclones Prediction

Our projections have Iowa State winning their week six matchup against Baylor by a score of 27-14. With Iowa State being -12.5 point favorites, we expect them to cover the spread.

The over/under line is set at 45.5 points, and with our projection of 41 total points, we recommend taking the under as the best play on the over/under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.