boise state vs unlv ncaaf prediction

NCAAF: Boise State vs. UNLV Prediction 12/2/2023

The Boise State Broncos (7-5) travel to face off against the UNLV Rebels (9-3) on Saturday, December 2nd. This game will be played at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas and televised on FOX. Boise State is coming off a win in their previous game, while UNLV is looking to get back on track from a loss to the San Jose State. Kickoff is set for 3:00 ET.

Boise State Broncos vs UNLV Rebels

The Boise State Broncos Are Coming Off A Win

The Broncos’ last game was a matchup vs. Air Force, ending in a 27-19 win for Boise State. Taylen Green found the endzone in multiple ways against Air Force, throwing for 228 yards and one touchdown in addition to rushing for one touchdown.

Heading into the game Boise State was the betting favorite at 6.5 and picked up an ATS win. Together, the teams scored 46 points, resulting in a hit for the over.

So far, the Boise State Broncos are 7-5, including going 2-4 on the road and 4-1 at home.

Boise State has gone into seven games as the favorite this season and four games as the underdog. Their ATS record is currently 5-5-1. Over the course of 12 games, the average over/under line in Boise State’s matchups has been 55.4 points. These games have had an average combined score of 57.2 points, leading to an OU record of 7-4.

The UNLV Rebels Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

This week, UNLV will be looking for another big game from their offense, but some better defensive play as they most recently loss to San Jose State 37-31. Against San Jose State, Jayden Maiava threw for 229 yards on a completion percentage of 65.5%. In the loss, he threw one touchdown and had a passer rating of 101.08.

The over hit in this game as the pre-game over/under matchup was 58.5. On the point spread, UNLV was handed a straight-up and ATS loss as they were favored by 1.

So far, the UNLV Rebels are 9-3, including going 4-2 on the road and 4-1 at home.

Heading into this week’s matchup with Boise State, the Rebels have been favored in six games and the underdog in five. Their ATS mark coming into the game is 9-2. UNLV has put together an over/under record of 7-4 throughout this season. The average combined score in their games has been 61.1 points, and the standard over/under line has stood at 54.8 points.

Boise State Offense Breakdown

The Broncos come into their matchup vs. UNLV 23rd in college football at 467 rushing attempts per game. This has translated to an average of 208.7 rushing yards per game, placing them 11th nationally. Additionally, they’ve been airing it out 27.7 times each game, accumulating an average of 229.6 passing yards. In terms of scoring, they stand 34th, with 32 points per game.

Leading the team in passing yards is Taylen Green with 1526 yards. In addition, he is 3rd on the team in rushing yards. This season, he’s carried the ball 69 times for 344 yards while boasting a completion rate of 55.3%.

UNLV Offense Breakdown

UNLV’s rushing attack is ranked 16th in college football with 482 rushing attempts per game. This has translated into an average of 188.2 rushing yards per game, placing them 26th nationally. On average, they are attempting 27.7 passes per game leading to 236.6 passing yards per contest. In terms of scoring, they hold the 17th position, averaging 35.5 points per game.

So far, Jayden Maiava has thrown for 2626 yards this season while averaging 14.1 per completion. His completion percentage this year is 64.1% and he has thrown 14 touchdowns.

Boise State Team Defense

The Broncos defense faces off against UNLV with 34 sacks and are 1st in QB hurries. When it comes to points allowed, they’re giving up 25.2 points per game which is 97th in the nation. Against the pass, they’re 146th in the NCAA, allowing 254.8 passing yards per game. Boise State’s run defense is yielding 127.2 rushing yards per contest.

UNLV Team Defense

UNLV’s defense enters the game ranked 87th in passing yards allowed per game. Opponents throw the ball an average of 29.6 times against the Rebels. They have given up 25.6 PPG, which ranks 100th in college football. In terms of rushing yards allowed, they stand at 89th in the NCAA.

Boise State vs UNLV Trends

  • On the road, Boise State has gone 3-6-1 vs. the spread.
  • UNLV is 5-0 Against the spread in their last five games at home.
  • UNLV is 3-0 in their last three games as underdogs.
  • Boise State are 4-1 in their last five games as favorites.

Boise State vs UNLV Prediction

For a point spread bet, I’m going with Boise State at -3. I believe the Boise State rushing offense will take full advantage of the weaknesses in UNLV’s defense, as they struggled in their most recent game. Before kickoff, I’d get a bet down on Boise State with -3.

I’m going with the over as my pick, considering the over/under line at 58.5. Thus far, games featuring UNLV have averaged a combined score of 61.1 points, and I anticipate this game will go beyond 58.5.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.