Bowling Green Falcons vs Texas A&M Aggies NCAAF Betting Prediction

NCAAF Bowling Green Falcons vs Texas Prediction 9/21/2024

The Bowling Green Falcons (1-1) face off against the Texas A&M Aggies (2-1) on Saturday, September 21st. This game will be played at Kyle Field in College Station and televised on SEC. Texas A&M is coming off a win in their previous game, while Bowling Green is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Penn State. Kickoff is set for 7:30 ET.

Bowling Green Falcons vs Texas A&M Aggies

 

Bowling Green Offense Breakdown

In their 34-27 loss to Penn State, Bowling Green’s offense totaled 377 yards, with 254 yards coming from the passing game. Connor Bazelak completed 64.1% of his passes for 254 yards and two touchdowns, but he also threw two interceptions, finishing with a passer rating of 78.37. Harold Fannin Jr. was his top target, catching 11 passes for 137 yards.

Bowling Green’s ground game produced 123 yards, with Jaison Patterson leading the way with 57 yards on 16 carries. The Falcons’ offense moved the chains 20 times in the game, but two interceptions by Bazelak hindered their chances of coming out on top.

Texas A&M Offense Breakdown

Marcel Reed led Texas A&M’s offense to a 33-20 win over Florida, throwing for 178 yards and two touchdowns. Reed completed 64.7% of his passes and ended the game with a passer rating of 138.85. Cyrus Allen was his top target, finishing with three receptions for 81 yards.

The Aggies’ offense totaled 488 yards, with 310 yards coming on the ground. Le’Veon Moss led the rushing attack with 110 yards on 18 carries, averaging 6.1 yards per attempt. Texas A&M picked up 27 first downs and scored two touchdowns through the air and one on the ground.

Bowling Green Team Defense

Bowling Green’s defense will need to improve after giving up 443 total yards to Penn State in their most recent game. The Falcons struggled to stop the run, allowing 239 rushing yards and two touchdowns. They did manage to intercept one pass, but Penn State still threw for 204 yards and two touchdowns against Bowling Green’s secondary.

Bowling Green Team Defense

After allowing 52 rushing yards and one touchdown on the ground, Texas A&M’s defense tightened up and held Florida to just 249 passing yards and 301 total yards. The Aggies’ defense also came up with three interceptions, helping them secure a 33-20 road win.

Bowling Green vs Texas A&M Trends

  • In their last five road games, Bowling Green has averaged 31 points per game while allowing 21 . The team’s record in this stretch was 3-2 while going 4-1 vs. the spread.
  • Across their ten previous home games, Texas A&M has an ATS mark of 3-6-1. Their straight up record in these matchups was 2-8 while averaging 25 points per game.
  • Through their last five games as the betting underdog, the Bowling Green Falcons have a strong record vs the spread going 3-2. Their straight up mark in these contests is 1-4.
  • Through their previous five contests as the betting favorite, the Texas A&M Aggies have a strong record of 4-1. Their record vs the spread in these matchups is 2-3.

Falcons vs Aggies Prediction

Our projections have Texas A&M winning their week four matchup against Bowling Green by a score of 40-13. With the Aggies as -23 point favorites, we expect them to cover the spread.

The over/under line is set at 52.5 points, and with our projection of 53 total points, we recommend taking the over as the most likely outcome.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.