cal golden bears vs stanford

NCAAF: California vs. Stanford Prediction 11/18/2023

The California Golden Bears (4-6) travel to face off against the Stanford Cardinal (3-7) on Saturday, November 18th. This game will be played at Stanford Stadium in Stanford and televised on PACN. California is coming off a win in their previous game, while Stanford is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Oregon State. Kickoff is set for 6:30 ET.

California Golden Bears vs Stanford Cardinal

The California Golden Bears Are Coming Off A Win

Despite going into the 4th quarter trailing by -3, the Golden Bears took down Washington State (42-39) in their most recent game. In the win to Washington State, quarterback Fernando Mendoza concluded with a QB rating of 119.15 while connecting on 14 of 21 passes for 150 yards. Moreover, he contributed two touchdowns to the game.

Going into the game, California was favored by 2.5 and went on to cover the spread. The team’s combined 81 points surpassed the over/under line of 60.

This season, the California Golden Bears are currently 4-6. So far this season, they have played four road games and five at home.

Heading into this week’s matchup with Stanford, the Golden Bears have been favored in three games and the underdog in six. Their ATS mark coming into the game is 4-5. After 10 games, the average over/under line in California’s matches stands at 54.7 points. The collective score in their games has averaged 68.9 points, resulting in an OU record of 7-2.

The Stanford Cardinal Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Cardinal could never recover from a rough first quarter in their most recent game vs. Oregon State, as they trailed 14-7 after the first period. Stanford ended up dropping the game 62-17. Ashton Daniels finished with 16 passing attempts against Oregon State. This led to a total of 200 passing yards, coupled with a completion percentage of 62.5%. It’s noteworthy that he also threw three interceptions in the loss.

Not only did Stanford lose straight-up in this matchup, but they also lost vs. the spread as 21.5-point underdogs. Combining for 79 points, the teams exceeded the line of 52 points.

With a 3-7 record, the Stanford Cardinal take on California. Their road record so far is (2-2) and at home (0-4).

Stanford’s average scoring differential for the season is -16 leading to an ATS mark of 4-4. The Cardinal have been favored one time and the underdog in seven game So far in this season, Stanford has posted an over/under record of 3-5. On average, their matchups have yielded a combined score of 57.8 points, with the typical over/under line set at 58.4 points.

California Offense Breakdown

The Golden Bears’ offense is set to face Stanford while averaging 188 rushing yards per game and 4 yards per attempt. In the national rankings, they currently stand at 28th for rushing yards and 83rd for passing yards, with an average of 210.3 yards per matchup. Overall, California is putting up 31.9 points per game, which is 34th nationally.

Fernando Mendoza is the top passer for the team this season, with 975 yards and an average of 11.1 per completion. His completion rate is 61.1%, and he’s thrown eight touchdowns.

Stanford Offense Breakdown

On the ground, the Cardinal are 49th in college football at 357 attempts per game. This has led to an average of 118.9 (103rd). So far, they have turned to the passing game 35 and have a per game average of 239.2. Overall, they are 87th in points (20.9 PPG).

So far this season, Ashton Daniels has thrown for 1907 yards, averaging 12.1 per completion. His completion percentage is 59.2%, and he’s registered 10 touchdowns.

California Team Defense

On defense, the Golden Bears defense has 16 sacks and are 1st in QB hurries. So far, teams are scoring 37 points per game against them (143rd). In terms of pass defense, they’re ranked 170th in the NCAA, allowing 290.3 passing yards per game. Moreover, California’s run defense is allowing 143.2 rushing yards per contest.

Stanford Team Defense

Stanford’s defense ranks 142nd in points allowed, with 36.9 points given up per game. Teams have been averaging 314.2 passing yards against them (180th nationally). On the ground, they’ve conceded 143.2 rushing yards, putting them 71st in college football.

California vs Stanford Trends

  • When playing on the road, California has an ATS mark of 1-4 vs. the spread.
  • Stanford is 3-2 Against the spread in their last five games at home.
  • Stanford’s ATS record in their five most recent games as an underdog is 3-2.
  • When favored, California has gone 6-4 vs. the spread (last 10).

California vs Stanford Prediction

California’s effective rushing game combined with the struggles of the Stanford defense against the run has me learning towards taking California at -6.5 for this matchup.

Up to this point in the season, California games have an average of 68.9 points scored. Considering the over/under line at 55.5, I’m going with the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.