California vs UCLA ncaaf prediction
PublishedNovember 22, 2023,            Posted By: Maria Uebelhor
Last updated:November 22, 2023 ,

NCAAF California Golden Bears vs UCLA Prediction 11/25/2023

The California Golden Bears (5-6) travel to face off against the UCLA Bruins (7-4) on Saturday, November 25th. This game will be played at Rose Bowl in Pasadena and televised on ESPN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Kickoff is set for 10:30 ET.

California Golden Bears vs UCLA Bruins

The California Golden Bears Are Coming Off A Win

Heading into their matchup with UCLA, the Golden Bears are looking to build on their most recent 27-15 win over Stanford. Against Stanford, Fernando Mendoza threw for 294 yards on a completion percentage of 66.7%. In the win, he threw three touchdowns and had a passer rating of 107.87.

California was favored by 6.5 heading into the game, giving them both a straight-up and ATS win. The under hit in the game, as the team’s combined for 42 with an over/under line of 53.5.

This season, the California Golden Bears are currently 5-6. So far this season, they have played five road games and five at home.

California’s average scoring differential for the season is -3.5 leading to an ATS mark of 5-5. The Golden Bears have been favored four times and the underdog in six games After 11 games, the average over/under line in California’s matches stands at 54.6 points. The collective score in their games has averaged 66.5 points, resulting in an OU record of 7-3.

The UCLA Bruins Are Coming Off A Win

Heading into their matchup with California, the Bruins are looking to build on their most recent 38-20 win over USC. In the win vs. USC, quarterback Ethan Garbers concluded with a QB rating of 103.56, connecting on 18 of 31 passes for 155 yards. He also added three touchdowns to his performance.

UCLA was the underdog at +5, giving them an ATS and straight-up win. The under hit in the game with the over/under line set at 63.5 points.

So far, the UCLA Bruins are 7-4, including going 3-3 on the road and 4-1 at home.

So far, UCLA has been favored eight times and the underdog in three games. This has led to an ATS record of 5-6 and an average scoring differential of +10.7. Heading into this week’s game, UCLA’s over/under record is 2-9. Their average margin against their over/under lines is currently -11.3 with their games averaging 44.2 points per game.

California Offense Breakdown

California comes into the game with an offense averaging 31.5, which places them at 35th in the NCAA rankings. Their passing game has them ranked 78th nationally, with an average of 217.9 passing yards. In the rushing department, they’re 27th in the nation, with 430 rushing attempts per game for the season.

Fernando Mendoza leads the team in passing yards this season with 1269. He’s averaging 11.3 per completion and holds a 62.2% completion rate, having thrown 11 touchdowns.

UCLA Offense Breakdown

On the offensive side, UCLA has averaged 27.5 points per game this season. This figure has them 58th in the NCAA. Their passing game, averaging 221.8 passing yards, is ranked 71st nationally. In terms of rushing, they’re 15th in rushing yards with an average of 447 rushing attempts per contest this season.

So far, Dante Moore has thrown for 1344 yards this season while averaging 14.8 per completion. His completion percentage this year is 52% and he has thrown 10 touchdowns.

California Team Defense

California’s defense ranks 146th in points allowed, with 35 points given up per game. Teams have been averaging 281 passing yards against them (170th nationally). On the ground, they’ve conceded 139.5 rushing yards, putting them 59th in college football.

UCLA Team Defense

This season, the Bruins’ defense has allowed 68.3 rushing yards per contest, placing them 206th. Opponents are averaging 234.1 passing yards, and opposing quarterbacks hold a passer rating of 81.6 when facing UCLA. They currently hold the 100th spot in NCAA points allowed.

California vs UCLA Trends

  • California’s five most recent games vs. the spread has seen them go 2-3 against the spread.
  • Looking across UCLA’s ten most recent home games, they are 5-5 against the spread.
  • In the three most recent times they were the underdog, UCLA has put together an ATS record of 1-2.
  • The previous ten time that California was favored, they are 6-4 against the spread.

California vs UCLA Prediction

UCLA’s offense hasn’t been performing well on third down so far this season. I don’t see them suddenly resolving this issue, and like California +10.5.

California has an average margin vs. the over/under of +13.8 this season. With the over/under set at 52, we anticipate this game to exceed expectations, ending with a combined total of 54 points.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.