Cincinnati Bearcats vs UCF Knights NCAAF Betting Prediction

NCAAF Cincinnati Bearcats vs UCF Prediction 10/12/2024

The Cincinnati Bearcats (3-2) face off against the UCF Knights (3-2) on Saturday, October 12th. This game will be played at FBC Mortgage Stadium in Orlando and televised on ESPN2. Both Cincinnati and UCF will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 ET.

Cincinnati Bearcats vs UCF Knights

NoneNone

Cincinnati Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 7, Cincinnati’s offense ranks 30th in points per game, averaging 33.4, but they are 11th in our offensive power rankings. They are 23rd in passing yards per game, with 301.2, and 25th in third-down conversion rate, completing 47.6% of their attempts. Their completion percentage is 66.5%, and they are 17th in passer rating with a rating of 116.

Brendan Sorsby has thrown for 1,481 yards this season, with a passer rating of 117. He has thrown 12 touchdowns and only one interception. Corey Kiner leads the team in rushing with 413 yards, averaging 6 yards per carry. Xzavier Henderson has 450 receiving yards and four touchdowns on 31 catches.

UCF Offense Breakdown

UCF’s offense is centered around their rushing attack, ranking 4th in the nation with 282.4 rushing yards per game on 49.8 attempts. RJ Harvey leads the team with 600 rushing yards and 9 touchdowns, averaging 6 yards per carry. The Knights are scoring 34.2 points per game and converting 47.1% of their third downs, heading into week 7 ranked 41st in our offensive power rankings.

KJ Jefferson has thrown for 1,012 yards, with 7 touchdowns and 4 interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 96. UCF is 91st in passing yards per game. Kobe Hudson leads the receivers with 363 yards and 2 touchdowns on 16 catches.

Cincinnati Team Defense

Despite allowing 44 points in their recent 44-41 loss to Texas Tech, Cincinnati’s defense gave up just 333 total yards, including 119 rushing yards on 27 carries and 214 passing yards. They also managed to hold Texas Tech without a passing touchdown.

On the season, Cincinnati ranks 33rd nationally, allowing 21.6 points per game. Opponents have averaged 157.6 rushing yards per game and 249 passing yards, with quarterbacks completing 61.1% of their passes and posting a 93 passer rating against the Bearcats.

Cincinnati Team Defense

UCF’s defense has allowed 24.6 points per game this season, including 24 points in their recent 24-13 loss to Florida. The Knights gave up 364 total yards, with 229 yards through the air and 135 yards on the ground, while forcing no interceptions.

Opponents have averaged 247 passing yards per game against UCF, completing 70.7% of their passes. On the ground, UCF has been strong, ranking 18th nationally by allowing just 92.8 rushing yards per game on an average of 26 attempts, the 6th fewest in the country.

Cincinnati vs UCF Trends

  • In their last ten games away from home, the Cincinnati Bearcats have a straight up record of 4-6 while going 4-5-1 vs. the spread. The team averaged 23 points per game in this stretch.
  • In their last ten games at home, the UCF Knights have a straight up record of 3-7 while going 3-7 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 24 points per game in these contests.
  • Going back to their previous three games as the underdog, Cincinnati has an ATS mark of 0-2-1 while going 0-3 straight up.
  • In their last five contests as the favorite, UCF has a poor record vs the spread going 2-3. But, they still put together a straight up mark of 3-2.

Bearcats vs Knights Prediction

Cincinnati is the +3.5 point underdog on the road vs. UCF in week seven, but we see them not only winning straight-up but covering the spread. Our projected final score is 35-27 in favor of the Bearcats.

With the over/under line sitting at 58.5 points, we have a projection of 62 points, making the over the best play in this matchup.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.