Cincinnati Bearcats vs Iowa State Cyclones NCAAF Betting Prediction

NCAAF Cincinnati vs Iowa State Prediction 11/16/2024

The Cincinnati Bearcats (5-4) face off against the Iowa State Cyclones (7-2) on Saturday, November 16th. This game will be played at Jack Trice Stadium in Ames and televised on FOX. Both Cincinnati and Iowa State will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00 ET.

Cincinnati Bearcats vs Iowa State Cyclones

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Cincinnati Offense Breakdown

Cincinnati’s offense is ranked 21st in our offensive power rankings heading into week 12. They are averaging 28.6 points per game, placing them 49th nationally. Brendan Sorsby has thrown for 2,387 yards, completing 66.1% of his passes, and has 16 touchdowns with five interceptions. His passer rating is 101.

The Bearcats are 27th in passing completions, averaging 22.2 per game, and they are 34th in passing yards, with 268 per game. They convert 44.4% of their third downs. Corey Kiner leads their rushing attack with 783 yards, averaging 5 yards per carry. Xzavier Henderson has 617 receiving yards and four touchdowns on 50 catches.

Iowa State Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 12, Iowa State’s offense ranks 37th in scoring, averaging 31.1 points per game. They are 41st in our offensive power rankings. Quarterback Rocco Becht has thrown for 2,394 yards, leading the Cyclones’ passing attack, which averages 271.4 yards per game, ranking 30th nationally. Becht has 16 touchdowns and seven interceptions, with a passer rating of 97.

Jaylin Noel is the top receiver, with 892 yards and five touchdowns on 51 catches. Iowa State is 47th in passing attempts per game. On the ground, they average 168.2 rushing yards per game. Carson Hansen leads the rushing attack with 492 yards and eight touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry.

Cincinnati Team Defense

Despite giving up 31 points in their recent 31-24 loss to West Virginia, Cincinnati’s defense allowed just 10 first downs and 249 total yards. They held West Virginia to 93 rushing yards on 27 attempts and 156 passing yards, while also forcing an interception.

On average, Cincinnati’s defense ranks 36th nationally, allowing 22.2 points per game. Opponents have averaged 155.1 rushing yards per game and 231.1 passing yards, with a 62.1% completion rate and a passer rating of 95.7.

Cincinnati Team Defense

Despite a rough outing in their recent game, where Iowa State’s defense gave up 45 points and 535 total yards, they still rank 15th nationally in points allowed, averaging just 18.8 points per game. In the loss to Kansas, the Cyclones allowed 240 rushing yards and 295 passing yards.

Opposing quarterbacks have managed a passer rating of just 53.9 against Iowa State, the fourth-lowest in the country, completing only 50.3% of their passes. However, the Cyclones have struggled against the run, ranking 131st nationally, allowing 177.7 rushing yards per game.

Cincinnati vs Iowa State Trends

  • In their last three games away from home, the Cincinnati Bearcats have a straight up record of 1-2 while going 1-1-1 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 27 points per game in these contests.
  • In their last five home games, Iowa State has averaged 29 points per game while allowing 23. The team’s record in this stretch was 4-1 while going 4-1 vs. the spread.
  • As the betting underdog, the Cincinnati Bearcats have an ATS mark of just 1-3-1 in their last five games. Cincinnati posted a straight up mark of 1-4 in these matchups.
  • In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Iowa State Cyclones have a straight up record of 3-2, while going 2-3 against the spread.

Bearcats vs Cyclones Prediction

Our projections have Iowa State winning their week 12 matchup against Cincinnati by a score of 31-22. The Cyclones are -8.5 point favorites, and we expect them to cover the spread.

With the over/under line set at 53.5 points, we see this as right on target, with our model projecting a combined 53 points. Look for Iowa State to cover the spread as the better bet, with the under as a slight lean on the totals.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.