Cincinnati Bearcats vs West Virginia

NCAAF: Cincinnati vs West Virginia Prediction 11/18/2023

The Cincinnati Bearcats (3-7) travel to face off against the West Virginia Mountaineers (6-4) on Saturday, November 18th. This game will be played at Milan Puskar Stadium in Morgantown and televised on ESPN+. Cincinnati is coming off a win in their previous game, while West Virginia is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Oklahoma. Kickoff is set for 2:30 ET.

Cincinnati Bearcats vs West Virginia Mountaineers

The Cincinnati Bearcats Are Coming Off A Win

Fueling Cincinnati’s most recent 24-14 win over Houston was a strong first quarter. In the game, they were up 7-0 after the opening quarter. In the win to Houston, quarterback Emory Jones concluded with a QB rating of 121.61 while connecting on 13 of 16 passes for 131 yards. Moreover, he contributed one touchdown to the game.

Going into the game, the over/under line was 53.5 points, which the teams did not surpass. Against the spread, Cincinnati picked up a win as 3-point underdogs.

This season, the Cincinnati Bearcats are currently 3-7. So far this season, they have played four road games and four at home.

Cincinnati’s average scoring differential for the season is -1.7 leading to an ATS mark of 3-5. The Bearcats have been favored two times and the underdog in five games Over the course of 10 games, the average over/under line in Cincinnati’s matchups has been 50.5 points. These games have had an average combined score of 52.1 points, leading to an OU record of 4-4.

The West Virginia Mountaineers Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

West Virginia will be looking to rebound from a 59-20 loss to Oklahoma. Heading into the fourth quarter, West Virginia trailed by a score of 38-20. Quarterback Garrett Greene threw for two touchdowns in West Virginia’s loss over Oklahoma. Overall, he had a passer rating of 65.97 while completing 37.0% of his passes for 154 yards.

Not only did West Virginia lose straight-up in this matchup, but they also lost vs. the spread as 12-point underdogs. Combining for 79 points, the teams exceeded the line of 60.5 points.

So far, the West Virginia Mountaineers are 6-4, including going 2-3 on the road and 3-1 at home.

So far, West Virginia has been favored four times and the underdog in five games. This has led to an ATS record of 5-4 and an average scoring differential of +2.5. This season, West Virginia has an over/under record of 5-4. Their games have, on average, produced a combined total of 58.1 points, with the typical over/under line being 52 points.

Cincinnati Offense Breakdown

On the ground, the Bearcats are 8th in college football at 443 attempts per game. This has led to an average of 223.5 (7th). So far, they have turned to the passing game 30.2 and have a per game average of 220.6. Overall, they are 67th in points (25.2 PPG).

This season, Emory Jones has thrown for a total of 1949 yards while maintaining an average of 11.6 yards per completion. His completion percentage is 62%, and he’s recorded 15 touchdowns.

West Virginia Offense Breakdown

On the ground, the Mountaineers are 7th in college football at 447 attempts per game. This has led to an average of 214.6 (9th). So far, they have turned to the passing game 26.4 and have a per game average of 196.7. Overall, they are 42nd in points (30.3 PPG).

So far, Garrett Greene has accumulated 1699 passing yards while averaging 15.9 per completion. His completion rate for the year is 51%, and he’s tossed 12 touchdowns.

Cincinnati Team Defense

This season, the Bearcats’ defense has yielded an average of 140 rushing yards, earning them a rank of 145th. Opponents have an average of 225 passing yards, with opposing quarterbacks attaining a passer rating of 89.8 when facing Cincinnati. They are currently 46th in points allowed in NCAA rankings.

West Virginia Team Defense

The Mountaineers defense comes into the game with 20 sacks, and ranked 1st in QB hurries. In terms of points allowed, they are giving up 27.8 points per game (108th). When it comes to defending the pass, they are ranked 137th in the NCAA, allowing an average of 247.3 passing yards per game. Additionally, West Virginia’s run defense comes in allowing 147.8 rushing yards per contest.

Cincinnati vs West Virginia Trends

  • Looking at Cincinnati’s five most recent road games, they have put together a record vs. the spread of 2-3.
  • West Virginia is 2-3 Against the spread in their last five games at home.
  • In the five most recent times they were the underdog, West Virginia has put together an ATS record of 3-2.
  • Cincinnati are 2-3 in their last five games as favorites.

Cincinnati vs West Virginia Prediction

For this matchup, I’m liking Cincinnati to cover as 6.5-point underdogs. Cincinnati is coming off a game in which they ran the ball well vs. Houston and should do so once again. Before kickoff i’ll be taking Cincinnati on the spread.

My bet for this game is the over, with the current over/under line at 54.5. So far this season, West Virginia games have averaged a combined score of 58.1 points, and I foresee this game surpassing 54.5.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.