duke vs virginia ncaaf betting

NCAAF: Duke vs. Virginia Prediction 11/18/2023

The Duke Blue Devils (6-4) travel to face off against the Virginia Cavaliers (2-8) on Saturday, November 18th. This game will be played at Scott Stadium in Charlottesville and televised on CW. Both Duke and Virginia will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:00 ET.

Duke Blue Devils vs Virginia Cavaliers

The Duke Blue Devils Look To Bounce Back From A Lossduke blue devils

Duke will be looking to bounce back from a tough 47-45 overtime loss to North Carolina. The team’s went into the 4th quarter of the game all tied at 36-36. Grayson Loftis found the endzone in multiple ways against North Carolina, throwing for 189 yards and three touchdowns in addition to rushing for one touchdown.

Duke and North Carolina combined for 92 points in the game, which was enough to surpass the over/under line of 53 points. Even though Duke lost straight-up, they did cover the spread as 10-point underdogs.

This season, the Duke Blue Devils are currently 6-4. So far this season, they have played three road games and five at home.

Duke has gone into four games as the favorite this season and four games as the underdog. Their ATS record is currently 4-4. This season, Duke holds an over/under record of 4-4. On average, their games have produced a combined total of 46.4 points, with the typical over/under line set at 47.9 points.

The Virginia Cavaliers Look To Bounce Back From A LossVirginia cavaliers

Virginia fell behind early in their most recent game vs. Louisville, trailing 7-0 after the first quarter. The Cavaliers ended up losing 31-24. In the loss vs. Louisville, quarterback Anthony Colandrea concluded with a QB rating of 95.36, connecting on 20 of 31 passes for 314 yards. He also added one touchdown to his performance.

Even though Virginia lost straight-up, they did manage to cover as 20.5-point underdogs. The over/under line pre-game was 50.5, resulting in a hit for the over.

The Virginia Cavaliers take on the Duke with a 2-8 record, including 1-3 on the road and 0-4 at home.

Virginia’s average scoring differential for the season is -9.1 leading to an ATS mark of 5-3. The Cavaliers have been favored one time and the underdog in seven game Heading into this week’s game, Virginia’s over/under record is 5-2-1. Their average margin against their over/under lines is currently +6.7 with their games averaging 55.5 points per game.

Duke Offense Breakdown

On offense, Duke comes into the game averaging 27.6, which is 56th in the NCAA. On average, they are averaging 165 passing yards (115th) compared to 41st in rushing yards. For the season, they are averaging 350 rushing attempts per contest.

Riley Leonard is the top passer for the team this season, with 1102 yards and an average of 11.6 per completion. His completion rate is 57.6%, and he’s thrown three touchdowns.

Virginia Offense Breakdown

Virginia enters the game on offense with an average of 23.2, ranking them 78th in the NCAA. Their passing game has them at 50th in the nation, with an average of 248.9 passing yards per game. On the ground, they’re at 100th in rushing yards, with an average of 382 rushing attempts per game this season.

Anthony Colandrea, the team’s top passer, has thrown for 1437 yards with a completion rate of 61.2%. His current average yards per pass attempt is 8.5.

Duke Team Defense

Duke’s defense sits at 65th for points allowed, allowing 18.8 points per game. So far, teams have been averaging 195.6 passing yards per game against them (46th nationally). On the ground, they’re yielding 154.5 rushing yards, ranking them 97th in college football.

Virginia Team Defense

Ranked 124th in passing yards allowed per game, Virginia’s defense gets ready to take on Duke. Opponents have attempted an average of 31 passes per game against the Cavaliers. They’re allowing 32.3 points per contest, placing them 128th in college football. Their rush defense ranks 138th in the NCAA.

Duke vs Virginia Trends

  • Duke is 5-5 in their last ten games road games.
  • Virginia is 7-3 in their last ten home games.
  • In the five most recent times they were the underdog, Virginia has put together an ATS record of 5-0.
  • The previous ten time that Duke was favored, they are 6-4 against the spread.

Duke vs Virginia Prediction

One trend not working in Virginia’s favor is the fact that their defense has given up increasing passer ratings in two straight games. My pick is Virginia as home underdogs.

Virginia comes into this week’s game with an average margin of -1.8 against their over/under lines. With an over/under of 47, our prediction is that this game will go over, resulting in a combined total of 49 points.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.