Florida Gators vs Texas Longhorns NCAAF Betting Prediction
PublishedNovember 5, 2024,            Posted By: Maria Uebelhor
Last updated:November 5, 2024 ,

NCAAF Florida Gators vs Texas Longhorns Prediction 11/9/2024

The Florida Gators (4-4) face off against the Texas Longhorns (7-1) on Saturday, November 9th. This game will be played at Darrell K. Royal Texas Memorial Stadium in Austin and televised on ABC. Texas is coming off a win in their previous game, while Florida is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Georgia. Kickoff is set for 12:00 ET.

Florida Gators vs Texas Longhorns

NoneNone

Florida Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 11, Florida’s offense ranks 46th in points per game, averaging 29.5, and they are 51st in our offensive power rankings. Their third-down conversion rate is low, at 36.2%, placing them 90th nationally. On the ground, they average 150.9 rushing yards per game.

Quarterback DJ Lagway has thrown for 1,071 yards with six touchdowns and five interceptions. Florida ranks 65th in passing yards per game but is 27th in completion percentage at 64.9%. Montrell Johnson Jr. leads the rushing attack with 373 yards and four touchdowns, while Elijhah Badger has 560 receiving yards.

Texas Offense Breakdown

Texas has leaned on their passing game this season, ranking 21st in passing yards per game with 294.6. They are 22nd in completions, averaging 23.9 per game, and their quarterback, Quinn Ewers, has thrown for 1,389 yards. Ewers has 14 touchdowns and six interceptions, and Texas ranks 13th in passer rating. Overall, they are 15th in scoring, averaging 37.6 points per game, and we have them 20th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 11.

Texas is averaging 159 rushing yards per game, ranking 79th nationally. Quintrevion Wisner leads the team with 409 rushing yards, averaging 5 yards per carry, and has scored two touchdowns. Isaiah Bond is the leading receiver with 380 yards and four touchdowns.

Florida Team Defense

Florida’s defense will look to bounce back after allowing 34 points in their recent loss to Georgia. They gave up 455 total yards, including 309 passing yards and two touchdowns, but did manage to force three interceptions.

On average, Florida’s defense is allowing 24.9 points per game. They rank 107th in the nation against the run, giving up 162.4 rushing yards per game, and 219.4 passing yards per game, ranking 89th.

Florida Team Defense

Texas’s defense has been impressive this season, ranking second in the nation by allowing just 11.5 points per game. They’ve also held opponents to 135.5 passing yards per game, the fourth-lowest in the country, with a passer rating of 52.8, which ranks third.

In their recent game against Vanderbilt, Texas allowed 24 points but gave up just 89 rushing yards on 35 attempts and 143 passing yards. They also held Vanderbilt to 12 first downs in the game.

Florida vs Texas Trends

  • In their last ten games away from home, the Florida Gators have a straight up record of 2-8 while going 6-4 vs. the spread. The team averaged 25 points per game in this stretch.
  • When looking at their past five home matchups, Texas has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 29 per game. The team went 4-1 overall in these games.
  • Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the Florida Gators have gone 3-2 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-4.
  • In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Texas Longhorns have a straight up record of 4-1, while going 2-3 against the spread.

Gators vs Longhorns Prediction

Our projections have Texas winning this matchup 30-14, but with Florida coming in as +21.5 point underdogs, we like their chances to cover the spread. Texas is the heavy favorite at home, but Florida should keep it close enough to cover.

For the over/under, the line is set at 47.5 points, and with our projected score of 44 points, the under looks like the best play for this matchup.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.