Florida State Seminoles vs Miami Hurricanes NCAAF Betting Prediction

NCAAF Florida State vs Miami Prediction 10/26/2024

The Florida State Seminoles (1-6) face off against the Miami Hurricanes (7-0) on Saturday, October 26th. This game will be played at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens and televised on ESPN. Miami is coming off a win in their previous game, while Florida State is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Duke. Kickoff is set for 7:00 ET.

Florida State Seminoles vs Miami Hurricanes

NoneNone

Florida State Offense Breakdown

Florida State’s offense has struggled this season, ranking 120th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 9. They are 103rd in scoring, averaging just 15 points per game, and their third-down conversion rate is 26.8%, placing them 107th nationally. Their rushing attack has been limited to 80.3 yards per game.

DJ Uiagalelei leads the passing game with 1,065 yards, but Florida State ranks 130th in passer rating. Uiagalelei has thrown six interceptions and just four touchdowns. Ja’Khi Douglas leads the team with 354 receiving yards and two touchdowns.

Miami Offense Breakdown

Miami’s offense has been explosive, ranking second in points per game with 48.3, and they are third in our offensive power rankings heading into week 9. Their passing game leads the nation with 388.4 yards per game, and they convert 60.2% of their third downs, the best in college football.

Cam Ward has thrown for 2,538 yards, completing 68.7% of his passes, with 24 touchdowns and five interceptions. His passer rating is 126. Xavier Restrepo leads the receivers with 686 yards and six touchdowns. Miami averages 189.6 rushing yards per game.

Florida State Team Defense

Florida State’s defense is giving up 25 points per game this season, ranking 53rd nationally. They’ve allowed an average of 198 passing yards per game and 179.1 rushing yards, which is 138th in the country. Opposing quarterbacks have a 98.3 passer rating against Florida State, completing 62% of their passes.

In their recent game against Duke, Florida State’s defense allowed just 23 points but still lost 23-16. They gave up only 10 first downs and 187 total yards, including 70 passing yards and 117 rushing yards on 32 attempts.

Florida State Team Defense

Miami’s defense has been strong against the run this season, ranking 12th nationally by allowing just 93.3 rushing yards per game. In their recent game against Louisville, they gave up 106 rushing yards on 21 carries. However, the secondary struggled, surrendering 342 passing yards and four touchdowns.

Opposing quarterbacks have completed 56.2% of their passes against Miami, with a passer rating of 68.1, the 16th-lowest in the country. Miami’s defense is ranked 43rd in points allowed, giving up 22.6 points per game.

Florida State vs Miami Trends

  • In their last five games away from home, the Florida State Seminoles have a straight up record of 2-3 while going 1-4 vs. the spread. The team averaged 20 points per game in this stretch.
  • Miami has played well in their previous five home games, going 5-0 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 45 points per game while allowing 27. The team also performed well vs the spread at 4-1.
  • As the betting underdog, the Florida State Seminoles have an ATS mark of just 1-2 in their last three games. Florida State posted a straight up mark of 0-3 in these matchups.
  • In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Miami Hurricanes have a straight up record of 3-0, while going 1-2 against the spread.

Seminoles vs Hurricanes Prediction

Our projection for this week nine matchup between Miami and Florida State is a final score of 40-21 in favor of Miami. With Miami being favored by -21 points, we like Florida State to cover the spread as the road underdog.

For the over/under, with the line sitting at 54.5 points, we would lean towards the over, as our score projection of 61 points suggests there is value in taking the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.