Georgia State vs LSU ncaaf betting

NCAAF: Georgia State vs. LSU Prediction 11/18/2023

The Georgia State Panthers (6-4) travel to face off against the LSU Tigers (7-3) on Saturday, November 18th. This game will be played at Tiger Stadium (LA) in Baton Rouge and televised on ESPN2. LSU is coming off a win in their previous game, while Georgia State is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Appalachian State. Kickoff is set for 8:00 ET.

Georgia State Panthers vs LSU Tigers

The Georgia State Panthers Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Georgia State will be looking to rebound from a 42-14 loss to Appalachian State in their most recent game. The Panthers fell behind early, trailing by -7 after the first quarter. In the loss vs. Appalachian State, quarterback Darren Grainger concluded with a QB rating of 72.77, connecting on 15 of 28 passes for 115 yards. He also added two touchdowns to his performance.

Leading up to the game, Georgia State was favored to win by 2.5, handing them an ATS and straight-up defeat. The under ended up hitting as the line going into the game was 62.5.

This season, the Georgia State Panthers are currently 6-4. So far this season, they have played four road games and five at home.

Heading into this week’s matchup with LSU, the Panthers have been favored in five games and the underdog in three. Their ATS mark coming into the game is 5-4. Through 10 games, the average over/under line in Georgia State’s games is 56.8 points. Their games have averaged a combined 55.9 points leading to an OU record of 4-5.

The LSU Tigers Are Coming Off A Win

In their most recent game, LSU matched up with Florida and came out on top with a 52-35 win. Heading into the 4th quarter of the game, LSU held a 10-point lead. In LSU’s win over Florida, quarterback Jayden Daniels had three touchdowns through the air and added two touchdowns on the ground. Throughout the game, he threw for a total of 372 yards while achieving a completion rate of 65.4%.

Going into the game, LSU was favored by 15.5 and went on to cover the spread. The team’s combined 87 points surpassed the over/under line of 66.5.

So far, the LSU Tigers are 7-3, including going 2-3 on the road and 4-0 at home.

LSU’s average scoring differential for the season is +17 leading to an ATS mark of 5-4. The Tigers have been favored eight times and the underdog in one games So far this season, LSU boasts an over/under record of 9-0. On average, their matchups have resulted in a combined score of 74.8 points, while the average over/under line has been 60.5 points.

Georgia State Offense Breakdown

Georgia State’s offense is averaging 27.1 points per game, which ranks them 58th in the NCAA. Through the air, they’re at 199.5 passing yards on average, putting them at 95th in the nation. Their rushing attack is currently 37th in rushing yards, with an average of 392 rushing attempts per game this season.

Darren Grainger is the team’s passing leader, having thrown for 1986 yards. He has also added some production in the running game, ranking 2nd on the team in rushing yards. This season, he’s carried the ball 112 times for 569 yards, while maintaining a completion rate of 64.9%.

LSU Offense Breakdown

The Tigers come into their matchup vs. Georgia State 53rd in college football at 351 rushing attempts per game. This has translated to an average of 224.1 rushing yards per game, placing them 6th nationally. Additionally, they’ve been airing it out 31.2 times each game, accumulating an average of 336.4 passing yards. In terms of scoring, they stand 3rd, with 45.9 points per game.

Jayden Daniels is the team’s passing leader, having thrown for 3165 yards. He has also added some production in the running game, ranking 1st on the team in rushing yards. This season, he’s carried the ball 114 times for 917 yards, while maintaining a completion rate of 71.4%.

Georgia State Team Defense

The Panthers defense comes into the game with 18 sacks, and ranked 1st in QB hurries. In terms of points allowed, they are giving up 28.8 points per game (116th). When it comes to defending the pass, they are ranked 165th in the NCAA, allowing an average of 282.4 passing yards per game. Additionally, Georgia State’s run defense comes in allowing 146.8 rushing yards per contest.

LSU Team Defense

Defensively, the Tigers defense has come up with 20 sacks this season and are 1st in quarterback hurries. Overall, they are allowing 28.9 points per contest (117th). Against the pass, they are 127th in the NCAA, having allowed 243.8 passing yards allowed per game. LSU is giving up 173.6 rushing yards per contest.

Georgia State vs LSU Trends

  • Georgia State is 2-1 ATS in their last road games.
  • LSU is 1-2 ATS in their last home games.
  • LSU’s ATS record in their three most recent games as an underdog is 1-2.
  • Over their last three games as the betting favorite, Georgia State has an ATS record of 1-2.

Georgia State vs LSU Prediction

LSU’s offense has been struggling on third down this season. I’m not betting on a sudden improvement, and my choice is for Georgia State +32.

I’m taking the under with the current over/under line at 71.5. Throughout the season, games involving Georgia State have averaged 55.9 points per game, and I anticipate this game will not exceed 71.5.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

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