georgia vs alabama ncaaf prediction

NCAAF: Georgia vs. Alabama Prediction 12/2/2023

The Georgia Bulldogs (12-0) travel to face off against the Alabama Crimson Tide (11-1) on Saturday, December 2nd. This game will be played at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta and televised on CBS. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Kickoff is set for 4:00 ET.

Georgia Bulldogs vs Alabama Crimson Tide

The Georgia Bulldogs Are Coming Off A Win

Georgia most recently played against Georgia Tech and won by a score of 31-23. In the win against Georgia Tech, quarterback Carson Beck achieved a QB rating of 88.54, completing 13 of 20 passes for 175 yards. Additionally, he contributed one touchdown to the game.

Combining for 54 points, the teams fell short of the over/under line of 59.5. Georgia was favored to win by 24 going into the game, giving them an ATS loss.

As they enter this week’s game, Georgia holds a record of 12-0. In this season, they’ve played five road games and six home games.

This season, Georgia has a scoring margin of +23.8. Their ATS record stands at 4-6-1 and they have been favored in all of their games. So far this season, the average over/under line for Georgia’s games has been 53.8 points. All in all, the Bulldogs have an over/under record of 6-5 heading into this week’s game.

The Alabama Crimson Tide Are Coming Off A Win

The Alabama Crimson Tide are coming off a 27-24 win over Auburn. This was a big win for the Crimson Tide, as they were actually trailing 21-20 going into the 4th quarter. Against Auburn, Jalen Milroe threw for 259 yards on a completion percentage of 66.7%. In the win, he threw two touchdowns and had a passer rating of 130.38.

With their 51 combined points, Alabama and Auburn surpassed the over/under line of 47.5. Although Alabama won straight-up, it wasn’t enough to cover at -13.5.

With a 11-1 record, the Alabama Crimson Tide take on Georgia. Their road record so far is (5-0) and at home (5-1).

Having been favored in all of their games so far, the Crimson Tide have a 7-4 vs. the spread. Alabama’s average scoring margin for the season is +17.8 points per game. Alabama has put together an over/under record of 8-3 throughout this season. The average combined score in their games has been 53.7 points, and the standard over/under line has stood at 51 points.

Georgia Offense Breakdown

Georgia enters the game on offense with an average of 39.6, ranking them 7th in the NCAA. Their passing game has them at 8th in the nation, with an average of 310.8 passing yards per game. On the ground, they’re at 30th in rushing yards, with an average of 413 rushing attempts per game this season.

This season, Carson Beck has been responsible for 3495 passing yards, maintaining an average of 13 per completion. He has a completion rate of 72.4%, having thrown 22 touchdowns.

Alabama Offense Breakdown

Alabama enters the game on offense with an average of 35.8, ranking them 16th in the NCAA. Their passing game has them at 58th in the nation, with an average of 231.5 passing yards per game. On the ground, they’re at 41st in rushing yards, with an average of 470 rushing attempts per game this season.

The team’s leading passer is Jalen Milroe, who has tallied 2526 passing yards with a completion percentage of 66.4%. He’s currently averaging 10.6 yards per pass attempt.

Georgia Team Defense

Georgia comes into the game 53rd in points allowed, allowing 15.8 points per game. Teams have been gaining 176.5 passing yards on average against them (29th). Against the run, they’re giving up 118 yards, placing them 39th in college football.

Alabama Team Defense

This season, the Crimson Tide’s defense has allowed 128.4 rushing yards per game, ranking 169th. Opponents average 184.2 passing yards, and opposing quarterbacks have put together a passer rating of 72.3 against Alabama. They hold the 95th position in NCAA points allowed.

Georgia vs Alabama Trends

  • On the road, Georgia has gone 2-1 vs. the spread.
  • Evaluating Alabama’s ten most recent home games, they are 5-5 against the spread.
  • Looking back at the last three times Alabama went into a game as the underdog, their ATS mark was 1-1.
  • Reflecting on the last three times Georgia was favored, their ATS record was 2-1.

Georgia vs Alabama Prediction

Not only did Georgia run the ball well in their most recent game, they are facing a Alabama defense that struggled to slow down the run vs. Auburn. For this matchup, I’m taking Georgia at -5.

After crunching the numbers, our model is pointing to this game finishing with a combined 57 points. This projection has me feeling good about taking the over at 56.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.