The Houston Cougars (1-4) face off against the TCU Horned Frogs (3-2) on Friday, October 4th. This game will be played at Amon G. Carter Stadium in Fort Worth and televised on ESPN. TCU is coming off a win in their previous game, while Houston is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Iowa State. Kickoff is set for 7:30 ET.

Houston Cougars vs TCU Horned Frogs

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Houston Offense Breakdown

Houston’s offense has struggled this season, averaging just 10.4 points per game, which ranks 99th nationally. They are 121st in our offensive power rankings heading into week 6. Their third-down conversion rate is only 25.8%, and they are 103rd in passing yards per game, averaging 155. Donovan Smith has thrown for 681 yards with two touchdowns and five interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 69.

Smith’s completion percentage is 65.4%, and Houston ranks 37th nationally, completing 64.5% of their passes. They are 31st in rushing attempts per game, averaging 129 yards on the ground. Stacy Sneed leads the rushing attack with 217 yards, averaging 6 yards per carry. Stephon Johnson has 174 receiving yards and one touchdown.

TCU Offense Breakdown

TCU’s offense has been driven by their passing game, ranking 3rd in passing attempts and yards per game, and leading the nation in completions. They are 20th in scoring, averaging 38.6 points per game, and are 16th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 6.

Josh Hoover has thrown for 1,774 yards with 14 touchdowns and 4 interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 112. Jack Bech leads the receivers with 647 yards and 6 touchdowns. TCU is averaging 107 rushing yards per game.

Houston Team Defense

Houston’s defense has allowed an average of 20.8 points per game this season, ranking 41st nationally. In their recent game, a 20-0 loss to Iowa State, they gave up 20 points, allowing one passing and one rushing touchdown. Iowa State totaled 393 yards, including 240 rushing yards.

Opponents have averaged 149.2 rushing yards per game against Houston, while quarterbacks have managed 147.4 passing yards per game, the 15th-lowest figure in the country. This season, quarterbacks have completed 61.7% of their passes against Houston, with a passer rating of 90.8.

Houston Team Defense

TCU’s defense has been a concern this season, allowing 31 points per game. In their recent matchup against Kansas, they gave up 27 points and 347 total yards, including 168 rushing yards and 179 passing yards, while forcing one interception.

Opponents have averaged 178.4 rushing yards per game against TCU, ranking them 124th nationally. However, TCU’s pass defense has been more effective, allowing just 155.8 passing yards per game, the 24th-lowest in the country, with a completion rate of 53.6%.

Houston vs TCU Trends

• Through their last ten road games, Houston has an ATS record of just 5-5. However, their overall record was 3-7 while averaging 26 points per game.
• Across their three previous home games, TCU has an ATS mark of 1-2. Their straight up record in these matchups was 2-1 while averaging 38 points per game.
• Spanning across their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Houston Cougars have gone 5-5 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 2-8.
• Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, TCU has an ATS mark of 4-6 while going 6-4 straight up.

Cougars vs Horned Frogs Prediction

Our projections for this week six matchup between TCU and Houston have the over/under line of 49.5 points right on target, with the final score expected to be 33-17 in favor of TCU. However, we do see some value in taking Houston to cover the +17 point spread as the road underdog.

For a straight-up pick, we like TCU to win, but Houston should be able to keep it close enough to cover the spread. Additionally, with the over/under line sitting at 49.5 points, we would lean towards the over, as our projections have these teams combining for just over 50 points.

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All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

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* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.