Indiana Hoosiers vs Northwestern Wildcats NCAAF Betting Prediction

NCAAF Indiana Hoosiers vs Northwestern Prediction 10/5/2024

The Indiana Hoosiers (5-0) face off against the Northwestern Wildcats (2-2) on Saturday, October 5th. This game will be played at Lanny and Sharon Martin Stadium in Evanston and televised on BTN. Indiana is coming off a win in their previous game, while Northwestern is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Washington. Kickoff is set for 3:30 ET.

Indiana Hoosiers vs Northwestern Wildcats

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Indiana Offense Breakdown

Indiana’s offense has been one of the best in college football this season, ranking 2nd in our offensive power rankings and 3rd in scoring, with 48.8 points per game. Kurtis Rourke has thrown for 1,372 yards and has a passer rating of 130. Indiana is 11th in passing yards per game and 9th in completion percentage, completing 71.2% of their passes. They also rank 3rd in third-down conversions, converting 57.4% of their attempts.

Rourke has thrown 11 touchdowns and just two interceptions this season. Justice Ellison leads the rushing attack with 341 yards, averaging 6 yards per carry, and has scored five touchdowns. Elijah Sarratt is the leading receiver with 378 yards on 22 catches.

Northwestern Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 6, Northwestern’s offense is averaging just 17.2 points per game, ranking 122nd in our offensive power rankings. Their third-down conversion rate is low at 27.5%, and their passing game has struggled, averaging 158.5 yards per game. They are 128th in passer rating.

Quarterback Mike Wright has 354 passing yards and a passer rating of 66. He has not thrown a touchdown pass this season. Cam Porter leads the rushing attack with 234 yards and three touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. A.J. Henning has 229 receiving yards and one touchdown.

Indiana Team Defense

Indiana’s defense has been strong this season, ranking 16th nationally by allowing just 13 points per game. They’ve given up only 82.4 rushing yards per game, which is 13th best in the country, and 157.6 passing yards per game, ranking 27th.

In their last game, Indiana allowed 28 points but held Maryland to 112 rushing yards on 30 attempts. The defense gave up 289 passing yards and three touchdowns through the air.

Indiana Team Defense

Despite a tough outing against Washington, where they allowed 521 total yards, Northwestern’s defense has been solid this season, ranking 14th nationally by giving up just 15.8 points per game. Against Washington, they allowed 24 points, with 314 passing yards and 207 rushing yards, but no rushing touchdowns.

Opponents have averaged 222.8 passing yards per game against Northwestern, completing 62.5% of their throws. On the ground, the Wildcats have been strong, ranking 11th in the nation by allowing just 80 rushing yards per game on 27.8 attempts, which is the 15th fewest in the country.

Indiana vs Northwestern Trends

  • Across their last five road contests, Indiana has a 4-1 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 1-4, while averaging 29 points per game.
  • Northwestern has played well in their previous three home games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 24 points per game while allowing 25. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, Northwestern has an ATS mark of 7-3 while going 5-5 straight up.
  • The Indiana Hoosiers have played well in their last five games as the betting favorite, going 5-0 straight up and 4-1 against the spread.

Hoosiers vs Wildcats Prediction

Our projections have the Indiana Hoosiers winning their week six matchup against Northwestern by a score of 27-20. Indiana is favored by -13.5 points, and we believe Northwestern will cover the spread as the underdog.

With the over/under line set at 42.5 points, we see a combined score of 47 points, making the over the best bet for this matchup.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.