indiana vs purdue ncaaf prediction

NCAAF Indiana Hoosiers vs Purdue Prediction 11/25/2023

The Indiana Hoosiers (3-8) travel to face off against the Purdue Boilermakers (3-8) on Saturday, November 25th. This game will be played at Ross-Ade Stadium in West Lafayette and televised on BTN. Both Indiana and Purdue will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00 ET.

Indiana Hoosiers vs Purdue Boilermakers

The Indiana Hoosiers Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Hoosiers could never recover from a rough first quarter in their most recent game vs. Michigan State, as they trailed 7-0 after the first period. Indiana ended up dropping the game 24-21. Quarterback Brendan Sorsby threw for two touchdowns in Indiana’s loss over Michigan State. Overall, he had a passer rating of 91.79 while completing 55.9% of his passes for 192 yards.

The pre-game over/under line for this matchup was 47 points, which the teams fell short of. Indiana not only lost straight-up but didn’t cover the spread as 3.5-point favorites.

So far, the Indiana Hoosiers are 3-8, including going 0-4 on the road and 1-3 at home.

Heading into this week’s matchup with Purdue, the Hoosiers have been favored in one game and the underdog in seven. Their ATS mark coming into the game is 4-4. Across 11 games, the average over/under line in Indiana’s matchups is 47 points. These games have seen an average combined score of 50.8 points, resulting in an OU record of 4-4.

The Purdue Boilermakers Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

In Purdue’s most recent loss to Northwestern, the Boilermakers faced a -3-point deficit going into the 4th and were unable to mount a comeback effort, falling 23-15. In their last game, quarterback Ryan Browne accumulated 16 passing attempts against Northwestern. He concluded the game with 104 passing yards while achieving a completion rate of 75.0%. Furthermore, he recorded two interceptions in the loss.

The betting lines going into the game were 47.5 on the over/under and Purdue as 2.5-point underdogs. As they combined for 38 points, this was a hit for the under and Purdue was handed an ATS loss.

So far, the Purdue Boilermakers are 3-8, including going 1-4 on the road and 2-4 at home.

Purdue’s average scoring differential for the season is -7.5 leading to an ATS mark of 4-7. The Boilermakers have been favored one time and the underdog in seven game This season, Purdue has an over/under record of 6-5. Their games have, on average, produced a combined total of 53.3 points, with the typical over/under line being 49 points.

Indiana Offense Breakdown

In the rushing game, the Hoosiers are currently 47th in college football with 397 attempts per game. This has resulted in an average of 120.5 rushing yards per game, putting them 103rd nationally. Their passing game has averaged 30.5 passes and 211.1 yards per game. When it comes to scoring, they are 83rd, averaging 21.4 points per game.

The top passer for Indiana is Brendan Sorsby, who has accumulated 1356 passing yards and boasts a completion rate of 57.3%. He’s currently averaging 6.6 yards per passing attempt.

Purdue Offense Breakdown

The Boilermakers’ offense is gearing up to take on Indiana, with an average of 168.2 rushing yards per game and an 4 yards per attempt. In the college football rankings, they are currently in 54th place for rushing yards and 88th place for passing yards, accumulating an average of 205.4 yards per contest. Purdue’s overall scoring average is at 22.9 points per game, placing them 75th rank nationally.

This season, Hudson Card has thrown for 2112 yards while maintaining an average of 10.9 per completion. His completion percentage stands at 58.6%, and he’s recorded 12 touchdowns.

Indiana Team Defense

Looking at this week’s game, the Indiana defense stands at 125th in points allowed, permitting 29.5 points on average per game. So far, opposing teams have managed 231.5 passing yards per game against them (104th). On the ground, they’re conceding 154.6 rushing yards, ranking them 89th in college football.

Purdue Team Defense

The Boilermakers defense will take the field with 33 sacks and are 1st QB hurries. When it comes to points allowed, they’re at 30.4 points per game (128th). Against the pass, the team is 136th in the NCAA, allowing 242.9 passing yards per game. Additionally, Purdue’s run defense has 142.4 rushing yards per contest.

Indiana vs Purdue Trends

  • When playing on the road, Indiana has an ATS mark of 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • Purdue is 2-3 Against the spread in their last five games at home.
  • In the three most recent times they were the underdog, Purdue has put together an ATS record of 2-1.
  • The previous ten time that Indiana was favored, they are 3-7 against the spread.

Indiana vs Purdue Prediction

I’m going with Indiana to cover as 2.5-point underdogs in this matchup. Indiana had an impressive performance in their last game, particularly in the ground game against Northwestern. I anticipate them to replicate that success, which is why I’m backing Indiana before kickoff.

Indiana has an average margin vs. the over/under of +4.2 this season. With the over/under set at 49.5, we anticipate this game to exceed expectations, ending with a combined total of 50 points.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.