Indiana Hoosiers vs Michigan State Spartans NCAAF Betting Prediction

NCAAF Indiana vs Spartans Prediction 11/2/2024

The Indiana Hoosiers (8-0) face off against the Michigan State Spartans (4-4) on Saturday, November 2nd. This game will be played at Spartan Stadium (MI) in East Lansing and televised on PEAC. Indiana is coming off a win in their previous game, while Michigan State is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Michigan. Kickoff is set for 3:30 ET.

Indiana Hoosiers vs Michigan State Spartans

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Indiana Offense Breakdown

Indiana’s offense has been impressive, ranking 2nd in points per game with 46.5, and they are 3rd in our offensive power rankings heading into week 10. They are also 3rd in third-down conversion rate, converting 54% of their attempts, and 2nd in passer rating.

Kurtis Rourke leads the passing game with a passer rating of 129 and has completed 74.6% of his passes for 1,941 yards and 15 touchdowns, with just three interceptions. On the ground, Indiana averages 206 rushing yards per game, led by Justice Ellison, who has 637 yards, nine touchdowns, and averages 6 yards per carry.

Michigan State Offense Breakdown

Michigan State’s offense ranks 84th in scoring, averaging 21 points per game, and they are 67th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 10. Aidan Chiles has thrown for 1,657 yards, but he has 10 interceptions compared to 7 touchdowns, resulting in a passer rating of 77. Overall, Michigan State ranks 106th in passer rating.

The Spartans are 40th in third down conversions, converting 42.6% of their attempts. They are 44th in passing completions, averaging 17.6 per game, and they rush for 139.8 yards per game. Kay’ron Lynch-Adams leads the ground game with 459 yards, averaging 5 yards per carry. Nick Marsh has 475 receiving yards and two touchdowns.

Indiana Team Defense

Indiana’s defense has been a standout this season, ranking 9th nationally by allowing just 14.1 points per game. They’ve been particularly strong against the run, giving up only 86.4 rushing yards per game, the 7th fewest in the country.

In their recent game, Indiana’s defense allowed 17 points while forcing two interceptions. They held Washington to 116 rushing yards on 31 attempts and 202 passing yards.

Indiana Team Defense

Michigan State’s defense has been solid this season, ranking 38th in the nation by allowing just 21.2 points per game. They’ve given up 131.8 rushing yards per game and 186.2 passing yards, ranking 36th nationally against the pass.

In their recent game against Michigan, the defense allowed 24 points, giving up 266 total yards. Michigan State held Michigan to 120 rushing yards on 30 carries and 146 passing yards, while forcing no interceptions.

Indiana vs Michigan State Trends

  • In their last ten games away from home, the Indiana Hoosiers have a straight up record of 3-7 while going 7-3 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 27 points per game in these contests.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Michigan State Spartans have a straight up record of 2-8 while going 5-3-2 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 16 points per game in these contests.
  • Spanning across their last three games as the betting underdog, the Michigan State Spartans have gone 2-1 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-2.
  • The Indiana Hoosiers have played well in their last three games as the betting favorite, going 3-0 straight up and 3-0 against the spread.

Hoosiers vs Spartans Prediction

Michigan State is the +7.5 point underdog at home in their week ten matchup against Indiana. We have the Spartans winning straight-up by a score of 35-22, making them a good bet to cover the spread.

With the over/under line set at 50.5 points, our projection of 57 total points suggests that taking the over is the best play.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.